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Old December 15th 19, 10:44 AM posted to uk.transport.london
Robin[_6_] Robin[_6_] is offline
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On 15/12/2019 10:25, Graeme Wall wrote:
On 15/12/2019 09:19, Robin wrote:
On 14/12/2019 21:55, Graeme Wall wrote:

Actually the replacement rate is about 2.4 children per couple to
allow for infertility, , infant mortality, gay couples and those who
just don't want children. Currently the average is nearer 1.8 so in
the long term the population of this country is going to shrink
fairly rapidly. The downside is the population is getting older. It's
a phenomenon that is being repeated across the world as people get
better educated and the religious ties are loosened.


I don't know what you mean by "long term" but the ONS project the
population of the UK continuing to increase through to 2043.



After the middle of the century as the offspring of the baby boomers
start to die out and the influence of effective contraception took hold
from the mid 1960s onward.


Thanks for calibrating "long term".

While you may of course be right I'll merely note that the statisticians
at Eurostat do not agree. They project the UK population continuing to
increase (albeit more slowly) through to 2100.

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/po...ta/main-tables

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Robin
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