Optimist wrote:
On Sat, 16 Jul 2016 12:35:32 +0100, "JohnD" wrote:
"Optimist" wrote in message
...
Leaving the EU will save £10 billion a year net so lack of money need not
be an issue.
How does that work then? On the assumption that joining eg EFTA will not
require a considerable annual contribution from the UK? Seriously?
This, in a nutshell, is the outright lie that too many gullible would-be
Brexiteers have been sold. If the UK were to have a Norway-style
relationship to the EU then the likely annual contribution (on an equivalent
per capita basis) would be ca £8B, even assuming that the UK wasn't required
to pay some punitive rate. (Plus accepting most, if not all, of the 4
freedoms.)
Forgetting about EFTA altogether and regressing to plain WTO arrangements
really isn't a viable option either, for anyone with enough patience and
interest see eg:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode...sury-committee
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode...sury-committee
Why a Norway-style arrangement? Much better is we get tariff-free access
to EU market in return for
tariff-free access to UK market. No freedom of movement, no subsidies to EU.
Almost certainly the rEU won't go for that.
If EU does not agree, WTO tariffs apply. German industrialists and
French farmers would be up in
arms, so EU will cave in. If not, tough, EU dole queues get longer.
Meanwhile UK negotiates trade deals with rest of world (there have been
approaches already).
When was the last time the UK negotiated a trade deal? The various
countries of the world are queueing up to screw over a desperate Britain
that needs trade deals fast and has no experience at how to negotiate them.
Robin