"Roland Perry" wrote in message
...
In message
-septe
mber.org, at 16:49:56 on Tue, 10 Jan 2017, Recliner
remarked:
Of course, our labour pool will be flooded by British expats sent
packing after freedom of movement in Europe ends.

I very much doubt that any established expats will be sent packing in
either direction. People already resident will almost certainly be
permitted to stay on.

Also, while most EU expats in the UK are workers, many UK expats in the EU
are retirees. While I'm sure they'll be permitted to remain, their access
to local health services may be more limited than today, which may mean
that some choose to return.

We'll see. While I agree that many retired ex-pats will be forced to
return to the UK and thus mop up quite a bit of the £350m extra Boris
promised the NHS, there are also a lot of expats in paying jobs in the EU.
The place I was attached to in the Netherlands a few years back had
perhaps a quarter of the staff (highly qualified) recruited from the UK
out of the 100 permanent employees.

I think you've just described exactly why they wont be sent back.

Just how are they going to find suitably qualified local replacements for
25% of their workforce, all to start "tomorrow".

The thing about FoM is that its only works as a positive EU-wide right. It
doesn't work as a negative EU-wide restriction.

Individual EU countries are free to have their own rules wrt employment of
non-EU nationals and can give out as many "permissions" to work locally as
they see fit (of course such a permission doesn't give that individual FoM
to other countries). Counties who already have millions of UK workers can
immediately "legalises" them regardless of any Brexit agreement - and almost
certainly would be foolish not to.

Retirees are, of course, a different issue.

tim