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Old April 7th 05, 11:11 AM posted to uk.transport.london
Dave Arquati Dave Arquati is offline
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First recorded activity at LondonBanter: Jul 2003
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Default The infamous West London Tram survey

John Rowland wrote:
"Dave Arquati" wrote in message
...

Secondly, the article says that the survey company
carried out interviews in 6 LBs as well as South Bucks -
but the sample size was too small to be worthwhile
statistically in South Bucks, Kensington &
Chelsea, Brent and Hounslow.

Let's do a little maths. We'll call those voters in the boroughs where
small samples were taken, "bad" voters.

Let's introduce a worst-case scenario. Those naughty "bad" voters all
vote "for" the tram, skewing the poll in favour of it, when their votes
statistically don't count.



If that's what the survey said, I'll give you the money myself! A more
realistic hypothesis would be that the voters in Kensingtyon, Brent etc
would all vote *against* the tram, since they will be paying for its
construction but won't benefit from it in any way.


As I discovered later, the reality was that 77% of those in Brent, 81%
in Hounslow, 63% in K&C and 45% in S Bucks explicitly supported the
tram. The numbers explicity opposing it were below 10% except in S Bucks
where it was 25%. 0% of the surveyees in LB Hounslow opposed it!

Does that mean I get some of the money? I could use it to build a tram
network centered on South Kensington... ;-)

--
Dave Arquati
Imperial College, SW7
www.alwaystouchout.com - Transport projects in London