Well as you said - based on what? Look at what has happened already -
the Bakerloo was shut before the official start of the strike - and
I'll be gobsmacked if any of the lines get remotely close to those
predictions. All that has to happen is for there to be no maintenance
cover or no signalling staff and it's irrelevant how many drivers and
station people turn up.

Thanks for all the comments.

Further bleat for the record: TFL's publicity about the Overground
running as usual was silent about station closures (eg Highbury &
Islington). Will the wannabe Damian McBrides ever learn that spin only
works if the punters don't see that it is spin?
--
R