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Mizter T January 20th 10 03:19 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 20, 12:31 pm, plcd1 wrote:

On Jan 20, 9:25 am, "Paul Scott"
wrote:

"John Salmon" wrote:


"Paul Scott" wrote
Main reason for posting though is that I noticed a London Reconnections
report today, giving a start date of 4th April for an 'ELL only' service,
ie 4 tph each to NX and NXG.


Easter Sunday. Interesting choice of date.


Hadn't noticed that - will probably be closed for engneering works...


I wouldn't have thought so. I suspect it is quite a sensible choice
as it is a holiday weekend with people being less time pressured and
forgiving if there are any first day "glitches". You also have the
Easter Monday and then schools being off so the build up of demand in
the following week or so should be gentler than in a "normal" week.
They may, of course, get a baptism of fire from kids riding up and
down the whole time when they're on hols but at least they'll get used
to the sort of antics that will probably follow on a regular basis.
It is going to be very interesting to see how things pan out and how
quickly demand picks up once there is a service in place.


I think the service will be a colossal success quite quickly, and that
demand will start to pick up very rapidly from day one. (Well, maybe
day three, or day eight - but you know what I mean!).

Off the top of my head there are a few groups of what one might call
savvy travellers who I think could make up some of the 'early
adopters' here...
(note that in many ways this is a south London perspective on things -
also I've resisted my urge to put each mention of 'hip' or 'trendy' in
inverted commas like so!)

~ ~ ~
(1) Students and staff heading to and from Goldsmith's College in New
Cross (famous for its art courses), plus associated arty / trendy
types. This includes Goldsmith's students (and staff) who live nearby
(in New Cross, Deptford and Brockley) heading up from NX towards hip
'n' trendy places like Shoreditch (a bit night-life location nowadays,
very popular though hardly cutting edge any more) and Dalston (seen as
up and coming), and indeed on to Hackney (been a focus for artistic
types for some time) - both Hackney proper (not far down the road from
Dalston Junction) and the wider Borough. Also, there's a growing, if
somewhat underground, art and music 'scene' in and around New Cross
and Deptford (always has been, courtesy of the student connection, but
it's gaining a bit more prominence - (e.g. see the New York Times'
perhaps mildly surprising recommendation of the area as a destination
for hip tourists, which of course got the Daily Mail treatment
here!).

Anyway, point being that in addition to NX being a destination for
study and work, there's a small degree to which it'll be a destination
for other activities for such folk who might live 'up east' (Dalston/
Hackney etc) coming down to visit, in addition to the predominant flow
of traffic for such activities heading the other way. So, expect a
sizable ultra-skinny jean and silly hairdo contingent, and I'd also
expect some changes to the NX and Deptford areas as a result of the
new line too, which should help pull them up a bit. (Of course there's
a whole host of interesting discussions to be had on these lines -
critics sometimes say things changes are gentrification by stealth by
pioneering middle class young outsiders with an artistic bent who then
pave the way for others, and indeed such criticisms are perhaps a bit
more evident in Dalston - but that's a whole other debate that I'm
just skirting around here, as I'm trying - and failing - to keep this
post concise and to the point!)

~ ~ ~
(2) My second group of savvy travellers are the Canary Wharf
commuters, what with the ultra easy interchange onto the Jubilee at
Canada Water. Obviously the big change will come when there's through
running from the ELL onto the LB&SCR main line down to Croydon and
Crystal Palace, but for the meantime the situation will broadly return
to what it was pre-ELL closure in December '07 (albeit with the extra
northern destinations up to Dalston). Likewise for these commuters,
things will go back to how they were at New Cross. So the contingent
of folk who used to use the ELL (and in doing so avoid zone 1 fares)
will return.

~ ~ ~
(3) The third group have some linkages with the first, and they're the
bods who work in and around Shoreditch where there's a lot of
'creative' industry type stuff going on (people who I dare say are
perhaps more likely to be attuned to developments, at least according
to my stereotype!). For them, Shoreditch High Street will be very
useful, as it will be those working on the northern fringe of the City
(e.g. around Bishopsgate). The price advantage of Shoreditch High
Street (SHS) being in zone 2 is no longer to be of course - it's zone
1 now - but nonetheless if SHS is more convenient than a trek in from
London Bridge (or Cannon Street) by whatever means (possibly by foot
for some) then it'll still be attractive. From the get-go I'd say
there'd be a number of people living in New Cross and also the
Rotherhithe area (i.e. inc. Canada Water catchment) for whom this
would provide a no-interchange needed option.

That said, if a rail-only season ticket to London Terminals (London
Bridge, Cannon Street) is cheaper than a season to SHS, then that
might actually pull things the other way (I'll take a punt at guessing
that SHS will not count as a London Terminal from either points north
or south, and perhaps there won't be a rail-only season ticket for ELL-
only sections either, but instead it'll be like the Tube where the
Travelcard is the season ticket, full stop - we shall of course see.)

~ ~ ~
(4) All those who used to use the ELL as a way of getting from SE
London to east and north east London, e.g. via Canada Water and the
Jubilee line, or via Whitechapel for the District line to head east.


Anyway there's a few ideas of people who might be using it early on,
even before through running to points south begins. It will indeed be
interesting to see how demand picks up in the month or so before this
happens. I dare say that off-peak travel might pick up more quickly
than peak-time commuter travel.

When it fully gets going I'm sure it'll be very well patronised, even
more so when it runs beyond Dalston Junction through to Highbury &
Islington (with a stop at Canonbury). I hate to say this, but I do
just wonder whether placing SHS in zone 1 might be beneficial in
preventing the service from becoming horribly overcrowded at peak
times. A significant benefit of attracting people towards orbital
journeys is taking the strain off the central London infrastructure -
in this case for example the 'delightfully snug' Northern line - but
if the ELL became similarly rammed (i.e. with folk using SHS as a
cheap way to get to and from the City), then the attraction of 'doing
it orbitally' might dim somewhat.

Of course, depending on how the fares work, it might well be that
instead of being cheaper, SHS will now be a more expensive choice when
compared to going to the conventional London terminal (e.g. London
Bridge, Cannon Street, Moorgate), losing it custom.

I expect that the re-zoning of SHS into expensive z1 territory will
also dissuade folk from transferring off the buses and onto the ELL
for orbital north-south trips (e.g. New Cross to Dalston), and indeed
those who under previous projections would have been expected to make
new or extra journeys may well no longer do so now, thus losing some
of the wider economic regeneration benefits that the line was to
offer. (In crude terms that I'll inevitably get hauled up on, it
becomes a bit less of a 'people's line', and more a line for 'them'.)


Anyway, a rather longer post than I had initially intended - really
gotta try and keep it shorter! I'm going to x-post this to utl - I've
been intending on making a re-appearance othere for a bit, but it
seems that having been away from usenet for a while (and indeed from
following metropolitan transportational developments in general), I
proceeded to get a little waylaid in uk.railway on my return! (I did
actually have something else in mind for my first utl post in ages,
something short and pithy, but never mind, having written all this
blah it'd be a shame not to inflict it on utl-ers too!)

eastender[_4_] January 21st 10 05:20 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
In article
,
Mizter T wrote:

~ ~ ~
(2) My second group of savvy travellers are the Canary Wharf
commuters, what with the ultra easy interchange onto the Jubilee at
Canada Water.


That'll include my wife - we live near Dalston Junction and she commutes
to Canary Wharf on the 277, or 277/D6 if I drop her in Mare Street. The
drawback is presumably the cost - what will the fare be?

E.

Paul Scott January 21st 10 05:36 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
eastender wrote:
In article
,
Mizter T wrote:

~ ~ ~
(2) My second group of savvy travellers are the Canary Wharf
commuters, what with the ultra easy interchange onto the Jubilee at
Canada Water.


That'll include my wife - we live near Dalston Junction and she
commutes to Canary Wharf on the 277, or 277/D6 if I drop her in Mare
Street. The drawback is presumably the cost - what will the fare be?


On the face of it, a zone 1 and 2 journey at the tube/LO rate, ie
£2.30/£1.80.

However there was talk of special 'zone 2 only' fares for some ELL journeys
as long as you didn't actually use Shoreditch High St, which is the only
station in zone 1. This was mentioned a year or so back, but the trail has
gone a bit cold recently. Perhaps this will prompt someone with insider
access to find out...

Paul S



Mizter T January 21st 10 05:59 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 21, 6:20*pm, eastender wrote:

In article
,
*Mizter T wrote:

~ ~ ~
(2) My second group of savvy travellers are the Canary Wharf
commuters, what with the ultra easy interchange onto the Jubilee at
Canada Water.


That'll include my wife - we live near Dalston Junction and she commutes
to Canary Wharf on the 277, or 277/D6 if I drop her in Mare Street. The
drawback is presumably the cost - what will the fare be?


Dalston Junction will be zone 2, so that will be a zone 1&2 journey -
though if the rezoning of SHS into z1 hadn't happened, it would have
been an zone 2 journey in its entirety.

Details about fares have not been announced, but I expect the ELL will
likely follow the Tube fare scale, if so using Oyster PAYG a single
journey would be £2.30 peak/ £1.80 off-peak. A season zones 1&2
Travelcard is a bit more expensive, but would of course cover any
extra non-commuting travel.

And thanks for an alternative take on it from the Dalston perspective!
The Jubilee can be pretty heaving in the morning, so an alternative
route would be to change at Shadwell onto the DLR, though its
certainly not quite such a smooth interchange - as it's out-of-station
via the street! - and the DLR journey to Canary Wharf would take
longer. Despite the awkward interchange, the extended ELL at Shadwell
will offer a number of new journey opportunities.

Mizter T January 21st 10 06:13 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 21, 6:36*pm, "Paul Scott"
wrote:

eastender wrote:

Mizter T wrote:


~ ~ ~
(2) My second group of savvy travellers are the Canary Wharf
commuters, what with the ultra easy interchange onto the Jubilee at
Canada Water.


That'll include my wife - we live near Dalston Junction and she
commutes to Canary Wharf on the 277, or 277/D6 if I drop her in Mare
Street. The drawback is presumably the cost - what will the fare be?


On the face of it, a zone 1 and 2 journey at the tube/LO rate, ie
£2.30/£1.80.

However there was talk of special 'zone 2 only' fares for some ELL journeys
as long as you didn't actually use Shoreditch High St, which is the only
station in zone 1. *This was mentioned a year or so back, but the trail has
gone a bit cold recently. *Perhaps this will prompt someone with insider
access to find out...


Most interesting - I obviously missed that at the time. I suppose that
would go some way to pacifying the TOCs worried about revenue
abstraction (i.e. pax deserting London Bridge/Cannon Street and
Moorgate for SHS) whilst still promoting it as an orbital route.

Two thoughts... (1) This is being kept-back as a 'surprise' for when
the ELL opens, or (2) it has been quietly forgotten about because the
extra revenue that will accrue has been deemed as being needed.

Or (3) it was only ever in the air as the result of some kite flying.

Paul Scott January 21st 10 06:19 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 21, 6:36 pm, "Paul Scott"
wrote:


However there was talk of special 'zone 2 only' fares for some ELL
journeys as long as you didn't actually use Shoreditch High St,
which is the only station in zone 1. This was mentioned a year or so
back, but the trail has gone a bit cold recently. Perhaps this will
prompt someone with insider access to find out...


Most interesting - I obviously missed that at the time. I suppose that
would go some way to pacifying the TOCs worried about revenue
abstraction (i.e. pax deserting London Bridge/Cannon Street and
Moorgate for SHS) whilst still promoting it as an orbital route.


I think it might be in one of those TfL board papers. The sort of thing Paul
Corfield seems to be able to find in an instant...

:-)

Paul S



eastender[_4_] January 21st 10 06:32 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
In article
,
Mizter T wrote:


And thanks for an alternative take on it from the Dalston perspective!
The Jubilee can be pretty heaving in the morning, so an alternative
route would be to change at Shadwell onto the DLR, though its
certainly not quite such a smooth interchange - as it's out-of-station
via the street! - and the DLR journey to Canary Wharf would take
longer. Despite the awkward interchange, the extended ELL at Shadwell
will offer a number of new journey opportunities.


I use City Airport quite a bit - eg going to Rotterdam next week - so
the change at Shadwell makes sense for me, although I sometimes drive
there (the car park though is now a staggering £72 for 29-48 hours - far
higher than business parking at Heathrow) I sometime park down there at
the weekends to take my kids for a ride on the DLR.

The bus though does have advantages - the 277 stops right outside my
wife's office. But if the traffic's snarled round the tunnel in the
evening rush hour, it can be a nightmare journey back home.

E.

Mizter T January 21st 10 07:25 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 21, 7:32*pm, eastender wrote:

Mizter T wrote:

And thanks for an alternative take on it from the Dalston perspective!
The Jubilee can be pretty heaving in the morning, so an alternative
route would be to change at Shadwell onto the DLR, though its
certainly not quite such a smooth interchange - as it's out-of-station
via the street! - and the DLR journey to Canary Wharf would take
longer. Despite the awkward interchange, the extended ELL at Shadwell
will offer a number of new journey opportunities.


I use City Airport quite a bit - eg going to Rotterdam next week - so
the change at Shadwell makes sense for me, although I sometimes drive
there (the car park though is now a staggering £72 for 29-48 hours - far
higher than business parking at Heathrow) I sometime park down there at
the weekends to take my kids for a ride on the DLR.


Though given the ultra-easy interchange at Canning Town from Jubbly to
DLR, one could well argue that ELL - Jubilee - DLR might still be
easiest for those with cumbersome luggage. They'd all have to be
working, of course - particularly problematic for the Jubilee at
weekends as we all know. But going via the Shadwell might mean one
less change if the DLR service was going all the way.

(Plus the DLR being overground gives one more of an opportunity for
any last minute pre-flight mobile communications.)


The bus though does have advantages - the 277 stops right outside my
wife's office. But if the traffic's snarled round the tunnel in the
evening rush hour, it can be a nightmare journey back home.


It's generally ok on the way in then?

Bus in, then rail home would of course work as a cheaper way of taking
advantage of both modes.

Martin Petrov[_2_] January 21st 10 08:28 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 12:25:41 -0800, Mizter T wrote:

On Jan 21, 7:32Â*pm, eastender wrote:

Mizter T wrote:

And thanks for an alternative take on it from the Dalston
perspective! The Jubilee can be pretty heaving in the morning, so an
alternative route would be to change at Shadwell onto the DLR, though
its certainly not quite such a smooth interchange - as it's
out-of-station via the street! - and the DLR journey to Canary Wharf
would take longer. Despite the awkward interchange, the extended ELL
at Shadwell will offer a number of new journey opportunities.


I use City Airport quite a bit - eg going to Rotterdam next week - so
the change at Shadwell makes sense for me, although I sometimes drive
there (the car park though is now a staggering £72 for 29-48 hours -
far higher than business parking at Heathrow) I sometime park down
there at the weekends to take my kids for a ride on the DLR.


Though given the ultra-easy interchange at Canning Town from Jubbly to
DLR, one could well argue that ELL - Jubilee - DLR might still be
easiest for those with cumbersome luggage. They'd all have to be
working, of course - particularly problematic for the Jubilee at
weekends as we all know. But going via the Shadwell might mean one less
change if the DLR service was going all the way.

(Plus the DLR being overground gives one more of an opportunity for any
last minute pre-flight mobile communications.)


The bus though does have advantages - the 277 stops right outside my
wife's office. But if the traffic's snarled round the tunnel in the
evening rush hour, it can be a nightmare journey back home.


It's generally ok on the way in then?

Bus in, then rail home would of course work as a cheaper way of taking
advantage of both modes.


As a veteran of the Hackney to Canary Wharf journey, I actually found the
NLL from Hackney Central (or Dalston) to Stratford followed by Jub-Jub to
Canary Wharf to be arguably the best/quickest option. You can usually get
a seat at Hackney Central, or at worst, when all the staff for the
hospital get off at Homerton, and then you're pretty certain of a seat at
Stratford on the Jubilee. If was hanging around late at work, the 277 was
usually my preference for getting home as the roads might be quieter at
7-7:30pm....

MIG January 21st 10 08:49 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
On 21 Jan, 21:28, Martin Petrov
wrote:
On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 12:25:41 -0800, Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 21, 7:32*pm, eastender wrote:


Mizter T wrote:


And thanks for an alternative take on it from the Dalston
perspective! The Jubilee can be pretty heaving in the morning, so an
alternative route would be to change at Shadwell onto the DLR, though
its certainly not quite such a smooth interchange - as it's
out-of-station via the street! - and the DLR journey to Canary Wharf
would take longer. Despite the awkward interchange, the extended ELL
at Shadwell will offer a number of new journey opportunities.


I use City Airport quite a bit - eg going to Rotterdam next week - so
the change at Shadwell makes sense for me, although I sometimes drive
there (the car park though is now a staggering £72 for 29-48 hours -
far higher than business parking at Heathrow) I sometime park down
there at the weekends to take my kids for a ride on the DLR.


Though given the ultra-easy interchange at Canning Town from Jubbly to
DLR, one could well argue that ELL - Jubilee - DLR might still be
easiest for those with cumbersome luggage. They'd all have to be
working, of course - particularly problematic for the Jubilee at
weekends as we all know. But going via the Shadwell might mean one less
change if the DLR service was going all the way.


(Plus the DLR being overground gives one more of an opportunity for any
last minute pre-flight mobile communications.)


The bus though does have advantages - the 277 stops right outside my
wife's office. But if the traffic's snarled round the tunnel in the
evening rush hour, it can be a nightmare journey back home.


It's generally ok on the way in then?


Bus in, then rail home would of course work as a cheaper way of taking
advantage of both modes.


As a veteran of the Hackney to Canary Wharf journey, I actually found the
NLL from Hackney Central (or Dalston) to Stratford followed by Jub-Jub to
Canary Wharf to be arguably the best/quickest option. You can usually get
a seat at Hackney Central, or at worst, when all the staff for the
hospital get off at Homerton, and then you're pretty certain of a seat at
Stratford on the Jubilee. If was hanging around late at work, the 277 was
usually my preference for getting home as the roads might be quieter at
7-7:30pm....-


With all of this, the journey opportunities that seem least useful and
by far the most disruptive are offered by the extension south beyond
NXG, filling hugely overcrowded paths with short trains going the
wrong way. I can see the benefit to students from the north, heading
for Goldsmiths etc, but a lot of that was provided by the ELL as it
was, with some useful new links now offered. People in south London
could reach NX/NXG anyway.

Nearly all of the benefits listed in Mizter T's post were offered
either by the existing ELL or by the extension to the north.

The planned reduction in service to London Bridge isn't going down
well locally, and is being conflated with the loss of Charing Cross
services on the line as a general battering of local transport.

Andy January 21st 10 09:35 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
On Jan 21, 9:49*pm, MIG wrote:
On 21 Jan, 21:28, Martin Petrov
wrote:





On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 12:25:41 -0800, Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 21, 7:32*pm, eastender wrote:


Mizter T wrote:


And thanks for an alternative take on it from the Dalston
perspective! The Jubilee can be pretty heaving in the morning, so an
alternative route would be to change at Shadwell onto the DLR, though
its certainly not quite such a smooth interchange - as it's
out-of-station via the street! - and the DLR journey to Canary Wharf
would take longer. Despite the awkward interchange, the extended ELL
at Shadwell will offer a number of new journey opportunities.


I use City Airport quite a bit - eg going to Rotterdam next week - so
the change at Shadwell makes sense for me, although I sometimes drive
there (the car park though is now a staggering £72 for 29-48 hours -
far higher than business parking at Heathrow) I sometime park down
there at the weekends to take my kids for a ride on the DLR.


Though given the ultra-easy interchange at Canning Town from Jubbly to
DLR, one could well argue that ELL - Jubilee - DLR might still be
easiest for those with cumbersome luggage. They'd all have to be
working, of course - particularly problematic for the Jubilee at
weekends as we all know. But going via the Shadwell might mean one less
change if the DLR service was going all the way.


(Plus the DLR being overground gives one more of an opportunity for any
last minute pre-flight mobile communications.)


The bus though does have advantages - the 277 stops right outside my
wife's office. But if the traffic's snarled round the tunnel in the
evening rush hour, it can be a nightmare journey back home.


It's generally ok on the way in then?


Bus in, then rail home would of course work as a cheaper way of taking
advantage of both modes.


As a veteran of the Hackney to Canary Wharf journey, I actually found the
NLL from Hackney Central (or Dalston) to Stratford followed by Jub-Jub to
Canary Wharf to be arguably the best/quickest option. You can usually get
a seat at Hackney Central, or at worst, when all the staff for the
hospital get off at Homerton, and then you're pretty certain of a seat at
Stratford on the Jubilee. If was hanging around late at work, the 277 was
usually my preference for getting home as the roads might be quieter at
7-7:30pm....-


With all of this, the journey opportunities that seem least useful and
by far the most disruptive are offered by the extension south beyond
NXG, filling hugely overcrowded paths with short trains going the
wrong way. *I can see the benefit to students from the north, heading
for Goldsmiths etc, but a lot of that was provided by the ELL as it
was, with some useful new links now offered. *People in south London
could reach NX/NXG anyway.


But putting these passengers on through ELL trains will relieve any
crowding on the London Bridge services.


Nearly all of the benefits listed in Mizter T's post were offered
either by the existing ELL or by the extension to the north.

The planned reduction in service to London Bridge isn't going down
well locally, and is being conflated with the loss of Charing Cross
services on the line as a general battering of local transport.


Is there really a reduction in capacity to London Bridge? I thought
the withdrawal of the handful of Southern services was going to go
hand in hand with the lengthening any short formed (4 or 6 car) peak
services to 8 cars. So frequencies may have been slightly reduced, but
capacity has increased.

Mizter T January 21st 10 09:36 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 21, 9:49*pm, MIG wrote:
[snip]
With all of this, the journey opportunities that seem least useful and
by far the most disruptive are offered by the extension south beyond
NXG, filling hugely overcrowded paths with short trains going the
wrong way. *I can see the benefit to students from the north, heading
for Goldsmiths etc, but a lot of that was provided by the ELL as it
was, with some useful new links now offered. *People in south London
could reach NX/NXG anyway.

Nearly all of the benefits listed in Mizter T's post were offered
either by the existing ELL or by the extension to the north.


My post/ramble was about those people who might use the line in those
first few weeks *before* through-running south of NXG begins - sorry
if I didn't flag this up sufficiently (it was prompted by Paul C's
ponderings on how quickly demand will pick up).

What I decidedly did not do was to extend my waxing lyrical to the
potential new clientele that the line will attract once through
running south of NXG does begin - but I can assure you that there will
be a lot of people attracted to it, and a good number will be
switching over from other routes e.g. via London Bridge. In other
words there will be a lot of people who'll want to go the "wrong way"
as you so put it (though evidently you won't be one of them) to take
advantage of these "most disruptive" "journey opportunities" (what is
a disruptive journey opportunity anyway? Or do you just expect all the
pax to be rowdy?!).


The planned reduction in service to London Bridge isn't going down
well locally, and is being conflated with the loss of Charing Cross
services on the line as a general battering of local transport.


OK, enough sarkiness on my part. Genuine question because I'm really
not as up to date on this - how much of a reduction will there be,
peak and off-peak? I was under the impression that wasn't going to be
huge, and also that the services that remain would be more likely to
be longer (e.g. 8 carriages vice 4). The reason why it'd be good to
have some specifics is that I'm afraid I remember you making similar
statements a long while back, but my recollection is that you'd
presumed that the ELL services would simply replace existing services,
when that was not the plan. (Damn long memories!)

FWIW I do know how important a route this is, and how busy these train
can be at peak times, so I understand the concern. And I understand
worries about new upstart services displacing old established ones, as
seems to be the plan on the South London Line. But in this case it
seems possible that people might be able to have the advantage of the
new whilst continuing to retain the benefits of the old too.

Mizter T January 21st 10 10:14 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 21, 10:23*pm, Paul Corfield wrote:

On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 19:19:36 -0000, "Paul Scott"
wrote:

Mizter T wrote:


On Jan 21, 6:36 pm, "Paul Scott"
wrote:


However there was talk of special 'zone 2 only' fares for some ELL
journeys as long as you didn't actually use Shoreditch High St,
which is the only station in zone 1. This was mentioned a year or so
back, but the trail has gone a bit cold recently. Perhaps this will
prompt someone with insider access to find out...


Most interesting - I obviously missed that at the time. I suppose that
would go some way to pacifying the TOCs worried about revenue
abstraction (i.e. pax deserting London Bridge/Cannon Street and
Moorgate for SHS) whilst still promoting it as an orbital route.


I think it might be in one of those TfL board papers. The sort of thing Paul
Corfield seems to be able to find in an instant...


:-)


Err not this time. *The zoning decision was linked to the approval for
ELLX Phase 2 as you know. The only further fares development that anyone
has spotted is the fare zones on the new NR London Connections map that
showed SHS in Zone 1 but Hoxton as boundary Z1/2.


I hadn't spotted that! Given the impenetrability of finding said map
on the redesigned (aka broken) NR website, I put "London Connections"
into Google, and it took me to the old Sept '09 map on the PDA version
of their site (i.e. "http://pda.nationalrail etc etc), so I've only
just really taken the new one on board (seen it at a station but
didn't pore over it).

Putting Hoxton in z1/2 is good in the sense that it will at least make
it clearer that one is going to travel through zone 1, though it's
essentially presentational of course (ok, it does mean single journeys
between Hoxton and SHS will be charged differently as z1-only
journeys, but who's going to be doing that?!). I recall the fix on the
NLL that put Hampstead Heath (and only HH) in zone 3, surrounded by
zone 2 - this feels like something of a fix too, but at least it's
executed in a way that's a bit easier to see.

(Not that I think many people with zone 2 Travelcards ever actually
ended up paying for a ticket extension to go through HH, not least
because buying a ticket wasn't always exactly easy, let alone a
difficult ticket like this which required an open ticket office, and
not that anyone ever had their tickets checked on the NLL. Not that
that many people had tickets in the first place either of course!)

Shame there doesn't appear to be a 'go orbital' easement to encourage
people to head this way. The SHS rezoning has to turn a lot of the
predicted traffic analysis on its head.


http://www.tfl.gov.uk/corporate/medi...ive/11192.aspx

Interestingly the DfT press release is no longer on the usual NDS site.
Given the SLL controversy I suspect it has been pulled.


That's something that is good about the TfL and GLA websites - old
press releases stay up on them and don't get airbrushed from history.
The GLA website has press releases dating back to 2000 when it was set
up, and TfL back to 2004. Might not always be the case of course.


What I haven't tried is whether the Fares Finder has Hoxton or
Shoreditch High St listed. I'd be amazed if they were there but it can't
be long before an update will be needed. The real fun will be when the
services on to NR metals start and the fares implications from that -
pink validators at Canada Water anybody?


Hopefully not for people to jump out and touch on before leaping
heroically back in! (I recall someone saying they'd successfully done
as much when travelling in on Chiltern on a paper ticket and switching
to PAYG at Amersham, or maybe Chalfont & Latimer... cue MIG saying
facilities should be provided for doing this everywhere!)

I tried the Fare Finder for ELL stations a couple of days ago but
there were none. Also, "fare finder" is in the singular, though it
doesn't sound or scan at all right does it! See:
http://www.tfl.gov.uk/tickets/faresandtickets/2930.aspx

Paul Scott January 21st 10 10:17 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 21, 9:49 pm, MIG wrote:


The planned reduction in service to London Bridge isn't going down
well locally, and is being conflated with the loss of Charing Cross
services on the line as a general battering of local transport.


OK, enough sarkiness on my part. Genuine question because I'm really
not as up to date on this - how much of a reduction will there be,
peak and off-peak? I was under the impression that wasn't going to be
huge, and also that the services that remain would be more likely to
be longer (e.g. 8 carriages vice 4). The reason why it'd be good to
have some specifics is that I'm afraid I remember you making similar
statements a long while back, but my recollection is that you'd
presumed that the ELL services would simply replace existing services,
when that was not the plan. (Damn long memories!)


What the Southern franchise briefing said:

"In order to accommodate these additional trains, SLC2 will see considerable
changes to existing services to London Bridge. It will no longer be feasible
for South Central to operate limited-stop services on the slow lines in
between all-stations ELL services, so all slow-line South Central trains
will also call at all stations. The South Central slow line service will
consist of 6 tph in the high peak hour (4 off-peak), and will be purely
local in nature.

"Whilst this means a reduction in the number of London Bridge trains from
Sydenham and Forest Hill to London Bridge in the peak hour, the overall
service frequency north of Sydenham, including ELL trains, will increase to
14 trains per hour in the peak. When Network Rail has completed enhancement
work, the South Central peak services on this route are expected to be of 10
car length."

I'd have thought the eventual capacity increase from 8 to 10 car is the key.
6 x 10 car trains in the peak hour must be almost as much capacity into LB
as now?

The South London RUS also covers the subject in detail, needless to say.
AFAICS the idea that the ELL will cause a major reduction in services into
LB seems something of an exaggeration.

Paul S



Peter Masson[_2_] January 21st 10 10:40 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 


"Paul Scott" wrote

The South London RUS also covers the subject in detail, needless to say.
AFAICS the idea that the ELL will cause a major reduction in services into
LB seems something of an exaggeration.

Some passengers who currently use London Bridge will find it advantageous to
use the ELL - particularly those who walk to work from London Bridge, but
who may have a shorter walk from Shoreditch High Street, and those who
change to the Jubilee Line at London Bridge who may choose to change at
Canada Water instead.

Peter


MIG January 22nd 10 12:21 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 
On 21 Jan, 23:17, "Paul Scott" wrote:
Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 21, 9:49 pm, MIG wrote:
The planned reduction in service to London Bridge isn't going down
well locally, and is being conflated with the loss of Charing Cross
services on the line as a general battering of local transport.


OK, enough sarkiness on my part. Genuine question because I'm really
not as up to date on this - how much of a reduction will there be,
peak and off-peak? I was under the impression that wasn't going to be
huge, and also that the services that remain would be more likely to
be longer (e.g. 8 carriages vice 4). The reason why it'd be good to
have some specifics is that I'm afraid I remember you making similar
statements a long while back, but my recollection is that you'd
presumed that the ELL services would simply replace existing services,
when that was not the plan. (Damn long memories!)


What the Southern franchise briefing said:

"In order to accommodate these additional trains, SLC2 will see considerable
changes to existing services to London Bridge. It will no longer be feasible
for South Central to operate limited-stop services on the slow lines in
between all-stations ELL services, so all slow-line South Central trains
will also call at all stations. The South Central slow line service will
consist of 6 tph in the high peak hour (4 off-peak), and will be purely
local in nature.


That's a different way of describing it from what I'd understood. It
seems to imply extra stopping services, rather than withdrawal (or
redirection) of limited-stop, but is the latter what it means?

I thought that the current off-peak stopping service from London
Bridge was 6 tph? That is a reduction if it's going to go down to 4
tph. The current peak is a bit irregularly-spaced, so I am not sure
of the average tph.

So that's a reduced service to London, and journeys to places like
Sutton and Caterham will probably always need a change (with who knows
what kind of connection) from the "purely local" service.

I am wondering now if the local campaigners have seen further through
the spin than I have and worked it all out.


"Whilst this means a reduction in the number of London Bridge trains from
Sydenham and Forest Hill to London Bridge in the peak hour, the overall
service frequency north of Sydenham, including ELL trains, will increase to
14 trains per hour in the peak. When Network Rail has completed enhancement
work, the South Central peak services on this route are expected to be of 10
car length."


That will need platform extensions nearly everywhere. I wonder if it
will really happen?


I'd have thought the eventual capacity increase from 8 to 10 car is the key.
6 x 10 car trains in the peak hour must be almost as much capacity into LB
as now?


It would certainly help if it's possible, but they only have to run
out of money and leave some short platforms somewhere (remember "Kent
Link"?) and there may be no choice but to run shorter trains.


The South London RUS also covers the subject in detail, needless to say.
AFAICS the idea that the ELL will cause a major reduction in services into
LB seems something of an exaggeration.


It's meant to seem that way. With all the partial and oddly-worded
information I think I have to wait and see.

Mizter T January 22nd 10 12:27 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 21, 11:40*pm, "Peter Masson" wrote:

"Paul Scott" wrote

The South London RUS also covers the subject in detail, needless to say..
AFAICS the idea that the ELL will cause a major reduction in services into
LB seems something of an exaggeration.


Some passengers who currently use London Bridge will find it advantageous to
use the ELL - particularly those who walk to work from London Bridge, but
who may have a shorter walk from Shoreditch High Street, and those who
change to the Jubilee Line at London Bridge who may choose to change at
Canada Water instead.


Indeed - re the second point, those heading east to Canary Wharf and
beyond will of course find Canada Water more convenient for changing
to the Jubilee - yes when the old ELL was open this was an option
then, but the benefit of one less change inevitably makes this more
attractive - but it'll also be very interesting to see how many people
do it for journeys to points west (e.g. the West End), thus avoiding
the somewhat laborious and busy interchange at London Bridge.

w.r.t. the first point about Shoreditch High Street, as I suggested
elsewhere on this thread if SHS had been in zone 2 as was originally
planned then price wise it may well have been advantageous for people
to choose it over London Bridge (i.e. Travelcard would not need z2
validity), however now that it's going to be in zone 1 then it may
well remain advantageous for them to stick with a rail-only season to
London Terminals (i.e. London Bridge).

An example - Crystal Palace to somewhere in the City - all prices are
monthlies...

z2&3 Travelcard - £73.00
z1-3 Travelcard - £116
Crystal Palace to London Terminals - £74.90

If SHS had been in z2, then if it was a more convenient location then
the clear choice for the commuter would have been the z2&3 Travelcard
(which would also have afforded them bus travel anywhere in London
too).

Now that SHS is in zone 1, they'd need to decide whether it was
worthwhile or not to splash out on a z1 Travelcard - or indeed a z1
PAYG fare - read on...

***BIG qualifier to the above!***
Importantly to all these calculations we don't yet know two things...

(1) What Oyster PAYG fare will be charged for said journey - though
it's likely that for a straightforward commute, PAYG will still be
cheaper than a season Travelcard (though poss. not an annual), but one
has to factor in any leisure travel too.

(2) Whether there might be some kind of rail-only season available for
travel to SHS. My suspicion is no there won't be.

Mizter T January 22nd 10 12:51 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 21, 11:17*pm, "Paul Scott"
wrote:

Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 21, 9:49 pm, MIG wrote:
The planned reduction in service to London Bridge isn't going down
well locally, and is being conflated with the loss of Charing Cross
services on the line as a general battering of local transport.


OK, enough sarkiness on my part. Genuine question because I'm really
not as up to date on this - how much of a reduction will there be,
peak and off-peak? I was under the impression that wasn't going to be
huge, and also that the services that remain would be more likely to
be longer (e.g. 8 carriages vice 4). The reason why it'd be good to
have some specifics is that I'm afraid I remember you making similar
statements a long while back, but my recollection is that you'd
presumed that the ELL services would simply replace existing services,
when that was not the plan. (Damn long memories!)


What the Southern franchise briefing said:

"In order to accommodate these additional trains, SLC2 will see considerable
changes to existing services to London Bridge. It will no longer be feasible
for South Central to operate limited-stop services on the slow lines in
between all-stations ELL services, so all slow-line South Central trains
will also call at all stations. The South Central slow line service will
consist of 6 tph in the high peak hour (4 off-peak), and will be purely
local in nature.

"Whilst this means a reduction in the number of London Bridge trains from
Sydenham and Forest Hill to London Bridge in the peak hour, the overall
service frequency north of Sydenham, including ELL trains, will increase to
14 trains per hour in the peak. When Network Rail has completed enhancement
work, the South Central peak services on this route are expected to be of 10
car length."

I'd have thought the eventual capacity increase from 8 to 10 car is the key.
6 x 10 car trains in the peak hour must be almost as much capacity into LB
as now?


Thanks for that - can't provide answer the capacity question I'm
afraid though, but it doesn't seem like a reduction in capacity.
Whether the "enhancement work" for 10-cars has been done yet is a
valid question, but I'm not sure how extensive the required work was
though.

If I've got this right there'll be an improvement at Anerley and Penge
West of 2-Southern-tph to 4-Southern-tph in addition to the ELL
services - and those extra 2-Southern-tph (to coin a phrase) will not
only provide a more frequent service to London Bridge but also provide
a direct service to East Croydon which isn't currently available.
Though if the timetable gets more of a shakeup then maybe, er, other
stuff will happen. Regardless, it seems it'll be an improvement for
local journeys pretty much any way you look at it.

Southern's current local timetable leaflet for this line - 11a - can
be seen he
http://www.southernrailway.com/your-journey/timetables/

Or the PDF can be obtained directly via:
http://tinyurl.com/yjoufhk


The South London RUS also covers the subject in detail, needless to say.
AFAICS the idea that the ELL will cause a major reduction in services into
LB seems something of an exaggeration.


Yes, I recall trawling through the RUS! Of course that's where the
proposed SLL replacement service is detailed, the self-same service
that TfL and the DfT have conspired to do away with. But that's
another issue - it seems that on the Croydon to London Bridge local
service front, things aren't about to take a similar turn for the
worse.

(Famous last words... we await the May 2010 timetable to see for
certain what will be...)

Mizter T January 22nd 10 01:30 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 22, 1:21*am, MIG wrote:

On 21 Jan, 23:17, "Paul Scott" wrote:

Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 21, 9:49 pm, MIG wrote:
The planned reduction in service to London Bridge isn't going down
well locally, and is being conflated with the loss of Charing Cross
services on the line as a general battering of local transport.


OK, enough sarkiness on my part. Genuine question because I'm really
not as up to date on this - how much of a reduction will there be,
peak and off-peak? I was under the impression that wasn't going to be
huge, and also that the services that remain would be more likely to
be longer (e.g. 8 carriages vice 4). The reason why it'd be good to
have some specifics is that I'm afraid I remember you making similar
statements a long while back, but my recollection is that you'd
presumed that the ELL services would simply replace existing services,
when that was not the plan. (Damn long memories!)


What the Southern franchise briefing said:


"In order to accommodate these additional trains, SLC2 will see considerable
changes to existing services to London Bridge. It will no longer be feasible
for South Central to operate limited-stop services on the slow lines in
between all-stations ELL services, so all slow-line South Central trains
will also call at all stations. The South Central slow line service will
consist of 6 tph in the high peak hour (4 off-peak), and will be purely
local in nature.


That's a different way of describing it from what I'd understood. *It
seems to imply extra stopping services, rather than withdrawal (or
redirection) of limited-stop, but is the latter what it means?

I thought that the current off-peak stopping service from London
Bridge was 6 tph? *That is a reduction if it's going to go down to 4
tph. *The current peak is a bit irregularly-spaced, so I am not sure
of the average tph.


Current off-peak service is indeed 6tph from Sydenham up to LB. Agreed
that the text does seem ambiguous as to the fate of the limited
stoppers. *If* those 2tph are getting cut, then yes the off-peak
service to LB would be down to 4tph, which would be a significant
reduction in frequency. I suppose the only thing that could be said
then is whether 6tph could be fully justified on off-peak traffic
terms, but that's not the sort of question I like to ask - turn-up-and-
go (...sooner-rather-than-later) frequencies are a big part of the
appeal.


So that's a reduced service to London, and journeys to places like
Sutton and Caterham will probably always need a change (with who knows
what kind of connection) from the "purely local" service.


If what you fear is indeed what's actually going to happen, then that
might be the result. *If* so then I suppose one could always make the
argument that the demand for ELL will likely outweigh the demand for
Sutton and Caterham, so it's justified to require people heading for
the latter to change. With regards to any prospective connection - the
ELL is 4tph, so it's hardly going to be the end of the world. (And
West Croydon will be - actually, already is - a London Overground
managed station, so there's perhaps a bit more likelihood that they'd
ensure it's a pleasant enough place to wait for, say, eight minutes.)

I do notice your line of attack re the local service is a bit of a
shift away from arguments about the service to London Bridge. Also,
whilst we're on the local tip, then the improved local service for
Anerley and Penge West is to be welcomed, no?


I am wondering now if the local campaigners have seen further through
the spin than I have and worked it all out.


Perhaps they're simply cynical about the whole thing - however perhaps
that's the best approach to take, as it offers the best defensive
stance. Looking at the unfolding SLL debacle, I think some of the
campaigners/ defenders of the SLL may well have been comforted by the
plans for the replacement SLL service (the Vic Bellingham one)
proposed in the RUS - which was then the subject of a mucky deal twixt
the DfT and Boris which resulted in it being dropped.

However, for all the good that being a cynic might do, when such
service changes happen it's quite likely that there'll be some losers,
as well as winners - in other words there will always be something to
complain about! I think it's helpful to question the extent of their
potential loss.


"Whilst this means a reduction in the number of London Bridge trains from
Sydenham and Forest Hill to London Bridge in the peak hour, the overall
service frequency north of Sydenham, including ELL trains, will increase to
14 trains per hour in the peak. When Network Rail has completed enhancement
work, the South Central peak services on this route are expected to be of 10
car length."


That will need platform extensions nearly everywhere. *I wonder if it
will really happen?


I was just under the perhaps pretty dumb assumption that they might be
long enough already... which is, as I said, a dumb assumption. My
mental image of all the platforms is of them being long - but maybe
not 10-car long.


I'd have thought the eventual capacity increase from 8 to 10 car is the key.
6 x 10 car trains in the peak hour must be almost as much capacity into LB
as now?


It would certainly help if it's possible, but they only have to run
out of money and leave some short platforms somewhere (remember "Kent
Link"?) and there may be no choice but to run shorter trains.


Fair enough comment. For whatever reason I thought the 10-car trains
were coming sooner rather than later - now I notice Paul's "eventual"
qualifier. Maybe it all depends on actual usage, i.e. how busy the 8-
car trains will be.

The South London RUS also covers the subject in detail, needless to say..
AFAICS the idea that the ELL will cause a major reduction in services into
LB seems something of an exaggeration.


It's meant to seem that way. *With all the partial and oddly-worded
information I think I have to wait and see.


You've made a decent case for the defence me thinks. (...or are you
the prosecution...)

Mizter T January 22nd 10 01:58 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 22, 12:57*am, MIG wrote:

On 21 Jan, 23:31, Mizter T wrote:

On Jan 21, 10:42*pm, Andy wrote:
[snip]
To add to this (and my post), the following comes from
http://www.alwaystouchout.com/project/3


[snip table from alwaystouchout]


Yeah - many eons ago it was looking at that table that made me
question where MIG was getting his info from! However whilst still a
great primer for many things the website is no longer updated - the
author was a great denizen of utl back in the day though! However
whilst I dare say the basic thinking survives, I dunno what subsequent
changes there may have been to that.


("eons" being a purposeful misspelling to test you all - seems like
you've all failed!)

(And I'm sorry if this is coming across as an attack on MIG - that's
not intended, I've a great respect for him as a contributor here - but
I do think there needs to be a clear basis of what the changes are
going to be before people set about taking them apart.)


I have actually argued that claims made by local campaigners seem
rather wild (and to be confused over the Charing Cross issue) and
ought to be checked before supporting them, and I don't know where
they get their information *from. *However, since my only counter
arguments come from what I read in the MR timetable review, which is a
notoriously disingenuous feature, I don't feel on very safe ground
either when local people seem to have information about drastic cuts.

I understood that, because ELL services will need the outer tracks,
some London Bridge services will move to the inner tracks and not be
able to call at several stations, but I don't know if there's a total
reduction in departures from LB.

The table mentioned above seems to be even more generous than the spin-
ridden MR feature, so I am not sure what to make of it. *Maybe there
has been some recognition of operation reality since those frequencies
were claimed?

Long before this blew up locally, I was always perturbed at the idea of
using any paths to send short trains away from London Bridge. *If the
paths are there, why aren't they being used now? *The trains on that
corridor are among the most ludicrously overcrowded in the country,
and London Bridge terminus is underused compared with, say, Charing
Cross.


See my extensive reply to your points elsewhere in this thread, but...

You make several good points (here and elsewhere), including the case
for being mistrustful and sceptical.

Re the comment about paths not being used now - I dunno what the
various potential issues are/ were about running more and longer
trains up and down this corridor to and from London Bridge, but I'd be
interested to know them. Lack of rolling stock perhaps? I acknowledge
the peak overcrowding on this route is severe. (Are all the peak
services 8 car, or some 6 car, or even 4 car?)

One quick thing to say about overcrowding is that some of the crowds
will inevitably opt for the ELL instead, which should hopefully make
things a bit less rammed for everyone else w.r.t. the London Bridge
trains. How crowded the ELL might get is another question. I agree
that there is the potential for a bit of a 'clash of cultures' (for
want of a better phrase) when the 4 car LO model transported down from
the NLL gets to this busy corridor on 'the southern', but I don't
think it'll necessarily be as apocalyptic as you state. Nonetheless
I'll try and endeavour to go and experience the peak crush for myself
in the next few months before the ELL through service starts (because
I'm a sadist like that!).

One other thing - about the Charing X issue - I'm rather out of the
loop about this and everything else, so has it gone down that badly?
Being able to get on a train back in the evening direct from CX in the
West End was I fully acknowledge a neat thing to be able to do.

DW downunder January 22nd 10 03:33 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 

"Mizter T" wrote in message
...

On Jan 21, 11:40 pm, "Peter Masson" wrote:

"Paul Scott" wrote

The South London RUS also covers the subject in detail, needless to say.
AFAICS the idea that the ELL will cause a major reduction in services
into
LB seems something of an exaggeration.


Some passengers who currently use London Bridge will find it advantageous
to
use the ELL - particularly those who walk to work from London Bridge, but
who may have a shorter walk from Shoreditch High Street, and those who
change to the Jubilee Line at London Bridge who may choose to change at
Canada Water instead.


Indeed - re the second point, those heading east to Canary Wharf and
beyond will of course find Canada Water more convenient for changing
to the Jubilee - yes when the old ELL was open this was an option
then, but the benefit of one less change inevitably makes this more
attractive - but it'll also be very interesting to see how many people
do it for journeys to points west (e.g. the West End), thus avoiding
the somewhat laborious and busy interchange at London Bridge.

w.r.t. the first point about Shoreditch High Street, as I suggested
elsewhere on this thread if SHS had been in zone 2 as was originally
planned then price wise it may well have been advantageous for people
to choose it over London Bridge (i.e. Travelcard would not need z2
validity), however now that it's going to be in zone 1 then it may
well remain advantageous for them to stick with a rail-only season to
London Terminals (i.e. London Bridge).

An example - Crystal Palace to somewhere in the City - all prices are
monthlies...

z2&3 Travelcard - £73.00
z1-3 Travelcard - £116
Crystal Palace to London Terminals - £74.90

If SHS had been in z2, then if it was a more convenient location then
the clear choice for the commuter would have been the z2&3 Travelcard
(which would also have afforded them bus travel anywhere in London
too).

Now that SHS is in zone 1, they'd need to decide whether it was
worthwhile or not to splash out on a z1 Travelcard - or indeed a z1
PAYG fare - read on...

***BIG qualifier to the above!***
Importantly to all these calculations we don't yet know two things...

(1) What Oyster PAYG fare will be charged for said journey - though
it's likely that for a straightforward commute, PAYG will still be
cheaper than a season Travelcard (though poss. not an annual), but one
has to factor in any leisure travel too.

(2) Whether there might be some kind of rail-only season available for
travel to SHS. My suspicion is no there won't be.



And may I ask, for those who walked from LB, what would be the pricing and
access issues if they were to use Whitechapel instead?

DW downunder


MIG January 22nd 10 06:29 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 
On 22 Jan, 02:58, Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 22, 12:57*am, MIG wrote:

On 21 Jan, 23:31, Mizter T wrote:


On Jan 21, 10:42*pm, Andy wrote:
[snip]
To add to this (and my post), the following comes from
http://www.alwaystouchout.com/project/3


[snip table from alwaystouchout]


Yeah - many eons ago it was looking at that table that made me
question where MIG was getting his info from! However whilst still a
great primer for many things the website is no longer updated - the
author was a great denizen of utl back in the day though! However
whilst I dare say the basic thinking survives, I dunno what subsequent
changes there may have been to that.


("eons" being a purposeful misspelling to test you all - seems like
you've all failed!)





(And I'm sorry if this is coming across as an attack on MIG - that's
not intended, I've a great respect for him as a contributor here - but
I do think there needs to be a clear basis of what the changes are
going to be before people set about taking them apart.)


I have actually argued that claims made by local campaigners seem
rather wild (and to be confused over the Charing Cross issue) and
ought to be checked before supporting them, and I don't know where
they get their information *from. *However, since my only counter
arguments come from what I read in the MR timetable review, which is a
notoriously disingenuous feature, I don't feel on very safe ground
either when local people seem to have information about drastic cuts.


I understood that, because ELL services will need the outer tracks,
some London Bridge services will move to the inner tracks and not be
able to call at several stations, but I don't know if there's a total
reduction in departures from LB.


The table mentioned above seems to be even more generous than the spin-
ridden MR feature, so I am not sure what to make of it. *Maybe there
has been some recognition of operation reality since those frequencies
were claimed?


Long before this blew up locally, I was always perturbed at the idea of
using any paths to send short trains away from London Bridge. *If the
paths are there, why aren't they being used now? *The trains on that
corridor are among the most ludicrously overcrowded in the country,
and London Bridge terminus is underused compared with, say, Charing
Cross.


See my extensive reply to your points elsewhere in this thread, but...

You make several good points (here and elsewhere), including the case
for being mistrustful and sceptical.

Re the comment about paths not being used now - I dunno what the
various potential issues are/ were about running more and longer
trains up and down this corridor to and from London Bridge, but I'd be
interested to know them. Lack of rolling stock perhaps? I acknowledge
the peak overcrowding on this route is severe. (Are all the peak
services 8 car, or some 6 car, or even 4 car?)

One quick thing to say about overcrowding is that some of the crowds
will inevitably opt for the ELL instead, which should hopefully make
things a bit less rammed for everyone else w.r.t. the London Bridge
trains. How crowded the ELL might get is another question. I agree
that there is the potential for a bit of a 'clash of cultures' (for
want of a better phrase) when the 4 car LO model transported down from
the NLL gets to this busy corridor on 'the southern', but I don't
think it'll necessarily be as apocalyptic as you state. Nonetheless
I'll try and endeavour to go and experience the peak crush for myself
in the next few months before the ELL through service starts (because
I'm a sadist like that!).

One other thing - about the Charing X issue - I'm rather out of the
loop about this and everything else, so has it gone down that badly?
Being able to get on a train back in the evening direct from CX in the
West End was I fully acknowledge a neat thing to be able to do.-


It may be more "... and another thing ...". Connections to Charing
Cross at London Bridge are not lacking, and they never ran in the
peaks anyway.

MIG January 22nd 10 06:47 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 
On 22 Jan, 02:30, Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 22, 1:21*am, MIG wrote:





On 21 Jan, 23:17, "Paul Scott" wrote:


Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 21, 9:49 pm, MIG wrote:
The planned reduction in service to London Bridge isn't going down
well locally, and is being conflated with the loss of Charing Cross
services on the line as a general battering of local transport.


OK, enough sarkiness on my part. Genuine question because I'm really
not as up to date on this - how much of a reduction will there be,
peak and off-peak? I was under the impression that wasn't going to be
huge, and also that the services that remain would be more likely to
be longer (e.g. 8 carriages vice 4). The reason why it'd be good to
have some specifics is that I'm afraid I remember you making similar
statements a long while back, but my recollection is that you'd
presumed that the ELL services would simply replace existing services,
when that was not the plan. (Damn long memories!)


What the Southern franchise briefing said:


"In order to accommodate these additional trains, SLC2 will see considerable
changes to existing services to London Bridge. It will no longer be feasible
for South Central to operate limited-stop services on the slow lines in
between all-stations ELL services, so all slow-line South Central trains
will also call at all stations. The South Central slow line service will
consist of 6 tph in the high peak hour (4 off-peak), and will be purely
local in nature.


That's a different way of describing it from what I'd understood. *It
seems to imply extra stopping services, rather than withdrawal (or
redirection) of limited-stop, but is the latter what it means?


I thought that the current off-peak stopping service from London
Bridge was 6 tph? *That is a reduction if it's going to go down to 4
tph. *The current peak is a bit irregularly-spaced, so I am not sure
of the average tph.


Current off-peak service is indeed 6tph from Sydenham up to LB. Agreed
that the text does seem ambiguous as to the fate of the limited
stoppers. *If* those 2tph are getting cut, then yes the off-peak
service to LB would be down to 4tph, which would be a significant
reduction in frequency. I suppose the only thing that could be said
then is whether 6tph could be fully justified on off-peak traffic
terms, but that's not the sort of question I like to ask - turn-up-and-
go (...sooner-rather-than-later) frequencies are a big part of the
appeal.



So that's a reduced service to London, and journeys to places like
Sutton and Caterham will probably always need a change (with who knows
what kind of connection) from the "purely local" service.


If what you fear is indeed what's actually going to happen, then that
might be the result. *If* so then I suppose one could always make the
argument that the demand for ELL will likely outweigh the demand for
Sutton and Caterham, so it's justified to require people heading for
the latter to change. With regards to any prospective connection - the
ELL is 4tph, so it's hardly going to be the end of the world. (And
West Croydon will be - actually, already is - a London Overground
managed station, so there's perhaps a bit more likelihood that they'd
ensure it's a pleasant enough place to wait for, say, eight minutes.)

I do notice your line of attack re the local service is a bit of a
shift away from arguments about the service to London Bridge. Also,
whilst we're on the local tip, then the improved local service for
Anerley and Penge West is to be welcomed, no?



My current best summary of what's likely to happen, including winners
and losers, is

1) W increased frequency between local stations from Norwood
Junction to NXG.

2) W no need to change for Canada Water, Whitechapel, Shoreditch etc

3) L reduced frequency to London Bridge

4) L No direct service beyond Croydon (eg Sutton, Purley ... and
what happens to Crystal Palace etc?)



I am wondering now if the local campaigners have seen further through
the spin than I have and worked it all out.


Perhaps they're simply cynical about the whole thing - however perhaps
that's the best approach to take, as it offers the best defensive
stance. Looking at the unfolding SLL debacle, I think some of the
campaigners/ defenders of the SLL may well have been comforted by the
plans for the replacement SLL service (the Vic Bellingham one)
proposed in the RUS - which was then the subject of a mucky deal twixt
the DfT and Boris which resulted in it being dropped.


Yes, I was forgetting the psychological effect of that debacle. It is
probably making everyone very cynical. Under Ken there was a tendency
to offer something new which was nice to have (late running LU etc)
and then say "by the way, we have to cut the basic (and more
important) service in order to provide the new service."

Orbital routes are Nice To Have, but the reason why most existing
routes are radial is because they are much more important.



However, for all the good that being a cynic might do, when such
service changes happen it's quite likely that there'll be some losers,
as well as winners - in other words there will always be something to
complain about! I think it's helpful to question the extent of their
potential loss.



"Whilst this means a reduction in the number of London Bridge trains from
Sydenham and Forest Hill to London Bridge in the peak hour, the overall
service frequency north of Sydenham, including ELL trains, will increase to
14 trains per hour in the peak. When Network Rail has completed enhancement
work, the South Central peak services on this route are expected to be of 10
car length."


That will need platform extensions nearly everywhere. *I wonder if it
will really happen?


I was just under the perhaps pretty dumb assumption that they might be
long enough already... which is, as I said, a dumb assumption. My
mental image of all the platforms is of them being long - but maybe
not 10-car long.


Mostly 8, including other South Central routes like Victoria to EC via
Norbury. Any 10 car diagrams would be very restricted unless the
whole network was extended. Crystal Palace and a couple of others
seem to be even more restricted.

Limited numbers of long enough platforms at LB too, and the odd short
one at Victoria.




I'd have thought the eventual capacity increase from 8 to 10 car is the key.
6 x 10 car trains in the peak hour must be almost as much capacity into LB
as now?


It would certainly help if it's possible, but they only have to run
out of money and leave some short platforms somewhere (remember "Kent
Link"?) and there may be no choice but to run shorter trains.


Fair enough comment. For whatever reason I thought the 10-car trains
were coming sooner rather than later - now I notice Paul's "eventual"
qualifier. Maybe it all depends on actual usage, i.e. how busy the 8-
car trains will be.

The South London RUS also covers the subject in detail, needless to say.
AFAICS the idea that the ELL will cause a major reduction in services into
LB seems something of an exaggeration.


It's meant to seem that way. *With all the partial and oddly-worded
information I think I have to wait and see.


You've made a decent case for the defence me thinks. (...or are you
the prosecution...)



I'm just a partial observer ...

Paul Scott January 22nd 10 08:42 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 

"MIG" wrote in message
...
On 21 Jan, 23:17, "Paul Scott" wrote:



That will need platform extensions nearly everywhere. I wonder if it
will really happen?


Network Rail have just announced that they have started:

"London Bridge to West Croydon via Norwood Junction
Increasing to 10-car trains during the peak from December 2011"

from
http://www.networkrailmediacentre.co...Cate goryID=8

I'd have thought the eventual capacity increase from 8 to 10 car is the
key.
6 x 10 car trains in the peak hour must be almost as much capacity into
LB
as now?


It would certainly help if it's possible, but they only have to run
out of money and leave some short platforms somewhere (remember "Kent
Link"?) and there may be no choice but to run shorter trains.


The South London RUS also covers the subject in detail, needless to say.
AFAICS the idea that the ELL will cause a major reduction in services
into
LB seems something of an exaggeration.


It's meant to seem that way. With all the partial and oddly-worded
information I think I have to wait and see.


This is how the RUS summary reads for the area in question, (section 6.3)
though obviously it's a couple of years old now:

"On the Sydenham line, Brockley, Honor
Oak Park, Penge West and Anerley all see
an INCREASE in the number of morning peak
trains to London Bridge. Sydenham and
Forest Hill will see a marginal reduction from
7tph at present to 6tph in the high peak hour,
but NO CHANGE from the existing 18tph trains
across the entire three-hour peak. However,
the RUS considers that, even if this change
were to be carried out in isolation (as
opposed to at the time of ELL opening),
the service pattern will provide sufficient
capacity, since no trains serving this route
will originate from further away than the
Croydon area (as opposed to locations such
as Epsom or Caterham today)."

[My caps]

"A 2tph service will operate from the
Sydenham line to Victoria via Crystal
Palace. This is a significant improvement in
the morning peak, developed in response
to stakeholder feedback, since this service
currently only commences after the
morning peak has finished."

"A 4tph peak fast service is provided from
Norwood Junction to London Bridge,
at improved intervals. This will provide
capacity for some of the passengers who
would otherwise use the all-stations trains."

I think these latter are the trains that have to shift to the fast lines,
but they should presumably be preferred by pax form West Croydon or Norwood
Jn once they are sussed out, as they'll run non stop.

Looking at all the evidence so far, the 'battering' of the service only
seems to be off peak. Assuming a reduction of 5 to 4 tph meets the
definition...

Paul S



MIG January 22nd 10 10:08 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 
On 22 Jan, 09:42, "Paul Scott" wrote:
"MIG" wrote in message

...

On 21 Jan, 23:17, "Paul Scott" wrote:


That will need platform extensions nearly everywhere. *I wonder if it
will really happen?


Network Rail have just announced that they have started:

"London Bridge to West Croydon via Norwood Junction
Increasing to 10-car trains during the peak from December 2011"

fromhttp://www.networkrailmediacentre.co.uk/content/detail.aspx?ReleaseID....





I'd have thought the eventual capacity increase from 8 to 10 car is the
key.
6 x 10 car trains in the peak hour must be almost as much capacity into
LB
as now?


It would certainly help if it's possible, but they only have to run
out of money and leave some short platforms somewhere (remember "Kent
Link"?) and there may be no choice but to run shorter trains.


The South London RUS also covers the subject in detail, needless to say.
AFAICS the idea that the ELL will cause a major reduction in services
into
LB seems something of an exaggeration.


It's meant to seem that way. *With all the partial and oddly-worded
information I think I have to wait and see.


This is how the RUS summary reads for the area in question, (section 6.3)
though obviously it's a couple of years old now:

"On the Sydenham line, Brockley, Honor
Oak Park, Penge West and Anerley all see
an INCREASE in the number of morning peak
trains to London Bridge. Sydenham and
Forest Hill will see a marginal reduction from
7tph at present to 6tph in the high peak hour,
but NO CHANGE from the existing 18tph trains
across the entire three-hour peak. However,
the RUS considers that, even if this change
were to be carried out in isolation (as
opposed to at the time of ELL opening),
the service pattern will provide sufficient
capacity, since no trains serving this route
will originate from further away than the
Croydon area (as opposed to locations such
as Epsom or Caterham today)."

[My caps]

"A 2tph service will operate from the
Sydenham line to Victoria via Crystal
Palace. This is a significant improvement in
the morning peak, developed in response
to stakeholder feedback, since this service
currently only commences after the
morning peak has finished."

"A 4tph peak fast service is provided from
Norwood Junction to London Bridge,
at improved intervals. This will provide
capacity for some of the passengers who
would otherwise use the all-stations trains."

I think these latter are the trains that have to shift to the fast lines,
but they should presumably be preferred by pax form West Croydon or Norwood
Jn once they are sussed out, as they'll run non stop.

Looking at all the evidence so far, the 'battering' of the service only
seems to be off peak. Assuming a reduction of 5 to 4 tph meets the
definition...

Paul S-


It does sound good (although not mentioning connections south) but I
suspect that it is sufficiently out of date not to be worth paying too
much attention to. A lot has happened in "a couple of years", not
least the election of a new Mayor, a major recession and some dodgy
deals*. I don't simply take the word of the local campaigners either,
who mention the reduction in service to LB (and Charing Cross) and
lack of connections south, but don't mention the ELL, but I recognise
that they have some justification for cynicism.

I guess we'll know soon enough when the timetable comes out.


*To get the go-ahead for things that may yet not go ahead (and Virgin
not involved ...).

Mizter T January 22nd 10 11:29 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 22, 11:08*am, MIG wrote:

On 22 Jan, 09:42, "Paul Scott" wrote:
[big snip]


This is how the RUS summary reads for the area in question, (section 6.3)
though obviously it's a couple of years old now:


[big snip of quoted chunks of RUS plus associated comments]


Looking at all the evidence so far, the 'battering' of the service only
seems to be off peak. Assuming a reduction of 5 to 4 tph meets the
definition...


It does sound good (although not mentioning connections south) but I
suspect that it is sufficiently out of date not to be worth paying too
much attention to. *A lot has happened in "a couple of years", not
least the election of a new Mayor, a major recession and some dodgy
deals*. *I don't simply take the word of the local campaigners either,
who mention the reduction in service to LB (and Charing Cross) and
lack of connections south, but don't mention the ELL, but I recognise
that they have some justification for cynicism.

I guess we'll know soon enough when the timetable comes out.

*To get the go-ahead for things that may yet not go ahead (and Virgin
not involved ...).


I agree that things may well have changed - plus as we've seen the RUS
is not a hallowed document, it's a recommendation, and it strongly
recommended that there be a replacement for the SLL (the proposed Vic-
Bellingham service) which seemingly isn't now going to happen.

With regards to your "dodgy deals" comment, I assume this is in
relation to the cutting of the SLL, right? Well, one justification was
the extension of the other platforms at Battersea Park - whether that
happens any time soon is a fair enough question. However at the other
end of the line, the redevelopment at London Bridge is indeed going
ahead, as it's all linked in with building the 'Shard' tower right
next to the station, which is itself intermeshed with the Thameslink
Programme works. Of course, one could make an argument about about it
being a "dodgy deal" for this to happen in the first place, what with
the associated reduction of terminating platforms at LB from 9 down to
6[*].

The ELL phase 2 to Clapham Jn seems fairly certain to happen (no doubt
it's controversial because of the associated SLL stuff, but I can't
see the plug being pulled on it now).

So are your comments predominantly about Battersea Park and the
disappearing SLL service? Or a wider comment, perhaps including
reference to Crossrail and other stuff?


-----[*] Could anyone briefly summarise to what extent the benefits for
Thameslink of the London Bridge works are dependent on the Bermondsey
flyunder arrangement being built too?

DW downunder January 22nd 10 11:50 AM

ELL Stock in Place
 

"MIG" wrote in message
...
On 22 Jan, 09:42, "Paul Scott" wrote:
BIG SNIP

Looking at all the evidence so far, the 'battering' of the service only
seems to be off peak. Assuming a reduction of 5 to 4 tph meets the
definition...

Paul S-


It does sound good (although not mentioning connections south) but I
suspect that it is sufficiently out of date not to be worth paying too
much attention to. A lot has happened in "a couple of years", not
least the election of a new Mayor, a major recession and some dodgy
deals*. I don't simply take the word of the local campaigners either,
who mention the reduction in service to LB (and Charing Cross) and
lack of connections south, but don't mention the ELL, but I recognise
that they have some justification for cynicism.

I guess we'll know soon enough when the timetable comes out.


*To get the go-ahead for things that may yet not go ahead (and Virgin
not involved ...).



Given FCC's track record, I suspect it's more a case of: we'll know when we
see the trains actually running ... and for your further flung
participants: ... and the news filters through. SIGH

DW downunder


Mizter T January 22nd 10 12:46 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 22, 4:33*am, "DW downunder" noname wrote:

"Mizter T" wrote in message

[big snip]

w.r.t. the first point about Shoreditch High Street, as I suggested
elsewhere on this thread if SHS had been in zone 2 as was originally
planned then price wise it may well have been advantageous for people
to choose it over London Bridge (i.e. Travelcard would not need z2
validity), however now that it's going to be in zone 1 then it may
well remain advantageous for them to stick with a rail-only season to
London Terminals (i.e. London Bridge).

An example - Crystal Palace to somewhere in the City - all prices are
monthlies...

z2&3 Travelcard - £73.00
z1-3 Travelcard - £116
Crystal Palace to London Terminals - £74.90

If SHS had been in z2, then if it was a more convenient location then
the clear choice for the commuter would have been the z2&3 Travelcard
(which would also have afforded them bus travel anywhere in London
too).

Now that SHS is in zone 1, they'd need to decide whether it was
worthwhile or not to splash out on a z1 Travelcard - or indeed a z1
PAYG fare - read on...

***BIG qualifier to the above!***
Importantly to all these calculations we don't yet know two things...

(1) What Oyster PAYG fare will be charged for said journey - though
it's likely that for a straightforward commute, PAYG will still be
cheaper than a season Travelcard (though poss. not an annual), but one
has to factor in any leisure travel too.

(2) Whether there might be some kind of rail-only season available for
travel to SHS. My suspicion is no there won't be.

--------------------

And may I ask, for those who walked from LB, what would be the pricing and
access issues if they were to use Whitechapel instead?


Whitechapel is and will remain in zone 2, but it's that bit further
away from the City - it will certainly be an option for anyone who
works on that edge of the City (say around Aldgate) and is willing to
walk a bit, but the lay of the land makes it that bit less attractive
to do so - SHS is closer to where it's going on (in City office terms
- Whitechapel market seems to be where it's at for dodgy DVD street
sales...).

So, from points south Whitechapel + walk is a possible option for
avoiding zone 1. The old Shoreditch ELL station (in zone 2) was also
used by a cadre of City commuters - indeed it only had a peak hours
service (though the service window was quite wide), but as we now know
the quasi-replacement SHS station will be in zone 1.

Coming from points north, then one could get off at Hoxton station
(zone 1/2 border, thus only paying for a z2 fare) and walk down into
the City, but again it's a bit of a distance, prob. more so for many
City destinations than it is from Whitechapel, and given that the
furthest away pax will have come from without a change is Highbury &
Islington I'm not sure that many would be willing to do this.

That said, for anyone working in the vicinity of the Old Street
roundabout, then a walk over from Hoxton is rather more doable. So
there's a possibility of the ELL taking a few pax away from FCC's
Great Northern Electrics / Northern City line service into Moorgate
via Old Street, dependent on where they're heading of course (and also
where they're starting from - if it's Highbury & Islington that's one
thing, but if people are coming from further out say on the Great
Northern Electrics service then faffing about changing at H&I becomes
less attractive, esp. if the walk is the same or longer at the other
end!).

Mizter T January 22nd 10 12:50 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 22, 7:29*am, MIG wrote:

On 22 Jan, 02:58, Mizter T wrote:
[snip]

One other thing - about the Charing X issue - I'm rather out of the
loop about this and everything else, so has it gone down that badly?
Being able to get on a train back in the evening direct from CX in the
West End was I fully acknowledge a neat thing to be able to do.-


It may be more "... and another thing ...". *Connections to Charing
Cross at London Bridge are not lacking, and they never ran in the
peaks anyway.


Yeah, my comment was more about later in the evening, when it was neat
to just be able to hop on the train at CX rather than change at LB to
get back (or indeed head up into town later in the evening and be
delivered right into the West End).

MIG January 22nd 10 12:51 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
On 22 Jan, 12:29, Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 22, 11:08*am, MIG wrote:





On 22 Jan, 09:42, "Paul Scott" wrote:
[big snip]


This is how the RUS summary reads for the area in question, (section 6.3)
though obviously it's a couple of years old now:


[big snip of quoted chunks of RUS plus associated comments]


Looking at all the evidence so far, the 'battering' of the service only
seems to be off peak. Assuming a reduction of 5 to 4 tph meets the
definition...


It does sound good (although not mentioning connections south) but I
suspect that it is sufficiently out of date not to be worth paying too
much attention to. *A lot has happened in "a couple of years", not
least the election of a new Mayor, a major recession and some dodgy
deals*. *I don't simply take the word of the local campaigners either,
who mention the reduction in service to LB (and Charing Cross) and
lack of connections south, but don't mention the ELL, but I recognise
that they have some justification for cynicism.


I guess we'll know soon enough when the timetable comes out.


*To get the go-ahead for things that may yet not go ahead (and Virgin
not involved ...).


I agree that things may well have changed - plus as we've seen the RUS
is not a hallowed document, it's a recommendation, and it strongly
recommended that there be a replacement for the SLL (the proposed Vic-
Bellingham service) which seemingly isn't now going to happen.

With regards to your "dodgy deals" comment, I assume this is in
relation to the cutting of the SLL, right? Well, one justification was
the extension of the other platforms at Battersea Park - whether that
happens any time soon is a fair enough question. However at the other
end of the line, the redevelopment at London Bridge is indeed going
ahead, as it's all linked in with building the 'Shard' tower right
next to the station, which is itself intermeshed with the Thameslink
Programme works. Of course, one could make an argument about about it
being a "dodgy deal" for this to happen in the first place, what with
the associated reduction of terminating platforms at LB from 9 down to
6[*].

The ELL phase 2 to Clapham Jn seems fairly certain to happen (no doubt
it's controversial because of the associated SLL stuff, but I can't
see the plug being pulled on it now).

So are your comments predominantly about Battersea Park and the
disappearing SLL service? Or a wider comment, perhaps including
reference to Crossrail and other stuff?


Well, mainly about the loss of SLL, and then the loss of the
replacement service from Victoria.

I was thinking that the loss of the service will definitely happen,
but that the service that replaces it may yet not, although you are
more confident that it will happen.

(My Virgin comment was thinking back to how other services were cut to
make way for PUG and Operation Princess, and remain cut, without the
promised benefit.)

I seem to remember there was a deal around the zoning of Shoreditch as
well, but that's more of an aside that explains people's cynicism.



-----
[*] Could anyone briefly summarise to what extent the benefits for
Thameslink of the London Bridge works are dependent on the Bermondsey
flyunder arrangement being built too?- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -



Mizter T January 22nd 10 02:57 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 22, 1:51*pm, MIG wrote:

On 22 Jan, 12:29, Mizter T wrote:

On Jan 22, 11:08*am, MIG wrote:
[snip]
It does sound good (although not mentioning connections south) but I
suspect that it is sufficiently out of date not to be worth paying too
much attention to. *A lot has happened in "a couple of years", not
least the election of a new Mayor, a major recession and some dodgy
deals*. *I don't simply take the word of the local campaigners either,
who mention the reduction in service to LB (and Charing Cross) and
lack of connections south, but don't mention the ELL, but I recognise
that they have some justification for cynicism.


I guess we'll know soon enough when the timetable comes out.


*To get the go-ahead for things that may yet not go ahead (and Virgin
not involved ...).


I agree that things may well have changed - plus as we've seen the RUS
is not a hallowed document, it's a recommendation, and it strongly
recommended that there be a replacement for the SLL (the proposed Vic-
Bellingham service) which seemingly isn't now going to happen.


With regards to your "dodgy deals" comment, I assume this is in
relation to the cutting of the SLL, right? Well, one justification was
the extension of the other platforms at Battersea Park - whether that
happens any time soon is a fair enough question. However at the other
end of the line, the redevelopment at London Bridge is indeed going
ahead, as it's all linked in with building the 'Shard' tower right
next to the station, which is itself intermeshed with the Thameslink
Programme works. Of course, one could make an argument about about it
being a "dodgy deal" for this to happen in the first place, what with
the associated reduction of terminating platforms at LB from 9 down to
6[*].


The ELL phase 2 to Clapham Jn seems fairly certain to happen (no doubt
it's controversial because of the associated SLL stuff, but I can't
see the plug being pulled on it now).


So are your comments predominantly about Battersea Park and the
disappearing SLL service? Or a wider comment, perhaps including
reference to Crossrail and other stuff?


Well, mainly about the loss of SLL, and then the loss of the
replacement service from Victoria.

I was thinking that the loss of the service will definitely happen,
but that the service that replaces it may yet not, although you are
more confident that it will happen.


No, that's not what I meant, but on re-reading them perhaps my
comments weren't very clear.

What I was trying to say was that I didn't see any chance of the plug
being pulled on ELL phase 2.

However, in the (I think very) unlikely event that was to happen, then
there would *have* to be some sort of SLL replacement service (for
example a Vic-Bellingham service) - apart from anything else, Clapham
High Street and Wandsworth Road would otherwise be left without any
service

I don't know what the latest is re the fate of the proposed then
rejected Vic-Bellingham service - afraid I wasn't following things at
all much recently, so I'm not up to date with the latest developments
on this front. I do however know that there is very considerable local
opposition to the loss of the SLL on parts of the route. I wouldn't
say I'm confident that the proposed Vic-Bellingham service will be
resurrected - in fact I wouldn't say anything because I just don't
know what's going on now.


(My Virgin comment was thinking back to how other services were cut to
make way for PUG and Operation Princess, and remain cut, without the
promised benefit.)


OK.


I seem to remember there was a deal around the zoning of Shoreditch as
well, but that's more of an aside that explains people's cynicism.


The re-zoning of Shoreditch seemed to be part of the overall deal that
the Mayor did with the DfT - or should I say the deal they did with
each other - this was the very same deal that involved the Mayor/TfL
opting to redirect the funding for the proposed Vic-Bellinham service
(a quasi-replacement for the doomed SLL service) into TfL's coffers so
as to help pay for ELL phase 2.

As I understand it, part of the deal was the DfT listening to TOCs
concerns about the possibility for revenue abstraction with SHS being
in zone 2 (i.e. pax transferring to the ELL to get to SHS instead of
travelling to London Bridge and the TOCs losing the fares money), and
then making the funding contingent on TfL agreeing to re-zone SHS into
zone 1 to mitigate against any such possible revenue abstraction.

So it's all bound together somehow - the Shard skyscraper, Thameslink
2K, the ELL, plans for platform lengthening on routes out of Victoria
etc etc etc.

MIG January 22nd 10 03:23 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
On 22 Jan, 15:57, Mizter T wrote:
On Jan 22, 1:51*pm, MIG wrote:





On 22 Jan, 12:29, Mizter T wrote:


On Jan 22, 11:08*am, MIG wrote:
[snip]
It does sound good (although not mentioning connections south) but I
suspect that it is sufficiently out of date not to be worth paying too
much attention to. *A lot has happened in "a couple of years", not
least the election of a new Mayor, a major recession and some dodgy
deals*. *I don't simply take the word of the local campaigners either,
who mention the reduction in service to LB (and Charing Cross) and
lack of connections south, but don't mention the ELL, but I recognise
that they have some justification for cynicism.


I guess we'll know soon enough when the timetable comes out.


*To get the go-ahead for things that may yet not go ahead (and Virgin
not involved ...).


I agree that things may well have changed - plus as we've seen the RUS
is not a hallowed document, it's a recommendation, and it strongly
recommended that there be a replacement for the SLL (the proposed Vic-
Bellingham service) which seemingly isn't now going to happen.


With regards to your "dodgy deals" comment, I assume this is in
relation to the cutting of the SLL, right? Well, one justification was
the extension of the other platforms at Battersea Park - whether that
happens any time soon is a fair enough question. However at the other
end of the line, the redevelopment at London Bridge is indeed going
ahead, as it's all linked in with building the 'Shard' tower right
next to the station, which is itself intermeshed with the Thameslink
Programme works. Of course, one could make an argument about about it
being a "dodgy deal" for this to happen in the first place, what with
the associated reduction of terminating platforms at LB from 9 down to
6[*].


The ELL phase 2 to Clapham Jn seems fairly certain to happen (no doubt
it's controversial because of the associated SLL stuff, but I can't
see the plug being pulled on it now).


So are your comments predominantly about Battersea Park and the
disappearing SLL service? Or a wider comment, perhaps including
reference to Crossrail and other stuff?


Well, mainly about the loss of SLL, and then the loss of the
replacement service from Victoria.


I was thinking that the loss of the service will definitely happen,
but that the service that replaces it may yet not, although you are
more confident that it will happen.


No, that's not what I meant, but on re-reading them perhaps my
comments weren't very clear.

What I was trying to say was that I didn't see any chance of the plug
being pulled on ELL phase 2.

However, in the (I think very) unlikely event that was to happen, then
there would *have* to be some sort of SLL replacement service (for
example a Vic-Bellingham service) - apart from anything else, Clapham
High Street and Wandsworth Road would otherwise be left without any
service

I don't know what the latest is re the fate of the proposed then
rejected Vic-Bellingham service - afraid I wasn't following things at
all much recently, so I'm not up to date with the latest developments
on this front. I do however know that there is very considerable local
opposition to the loss of the SLL on parts of the route. I wouldn't
say I'm confident that the proposed Vic-Bellingham service will be
resurrected - in fact I wouldn't say anything because I just don't
know what's going on now.


I haven't a clue, but I wonder if at some point the Catford line
service will just run from Victoria, as it does on Sundays, during
future Thameslink works, and everyone will get used to it.




(My Virgin comment was thinking back to how other services were cut to
make way for PUG and Operation Princess, and remain cut, without the
promised benefit.)


OK.



I seem to remember there was a deal around the zoning of Shoreditch as
well, but that's more of an aside that explains people's cynicism.


The re-zoning of Shoreditch seemed to be part of the overall deal that
the Mayor did with the DfT - or should I say the deal they did with
each other - this was the very same deal that involved the Mayor/TfL
opting to redirect the funding for the proposed Vic-Bellinham service
(a quasi-replacement for the doomed SLL service) into TfL's coffers so
as to help pay for ELL phase 2.


There's something double-thoughtful about that. Can't quite get my
head round it.

A service that was only ever proposed as a result of planned changes
was cancelled to pay for the changes that led to it being
proposed ...

Anyway, a lot is going to depend on what happens to the Victoria to
Dartford services, which could do with running later (as they once
did) and on Sundays (as they did as far as Charlton when the Dome was
open), what tracks they use etc.


As I understand it, part of the deal was the DfT listening to TOCs
concerns about the possibility for revenue abstraction with SHS being
in zone 2 (i.e. pax transferring to the ELL to get to SHS instead of
travelling to London Bridge and the TOCs losing the fares money), and
then making the funding contingent on TfL agreeing to re-zone SHS into
zone 1 to mitigate against any such possible revenue abstraction.

So it's all bound together somehow - the Shard skyscraper, Thameslink
2K, the ELL, plans for platform lengthening on routes out of Victoria
etc etc etc.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -



Paul Scott January 22nd 10 04:56 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

"DW downunder" noname wrote in message
...


Given FCC's track record, I suspect it's more a case of: we'll know when
we see the trains actually running ... and for your further flung
participants: ... and the news filters through. SIGH


Thankfully, it is nothing at all to do with FCC...

Paul S



Martin Petrov[_2_] January 22nd 10 05:04 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
That said, for anyone working in the vicinity of the Old Street
roundabout, then a walk over from Hoxton is rather more doable. So
there's a possibility of the ELL taking a few pax away from FCC's Great
Northern Electrics / Northern City line service into Moorgate via Old
Street, dependent on where they're heading of course (and also where
they're starting from - if it's Highbury & Islington that's one thing,
but if people are coming from further out say on the Great Northern
Electrics service then faffing about changing at H&I becomes less
attractive, esp. if the walk is the same or longer at the other end!).


If you live anywhere on the H&I-Dalston-Hoxton route, and you work in
Old St, you're going to get the bus, without any question, surely? It's
always going to be quicker/cheaper?

(and in fact, if it's not raining, surely 90% of people would walk from
any of those places, making a much larger saving!)

Peter Masson[_2_] January 22nd 10 07:57 PM

South London Line issues [was: ELL Stock in Place]
 


"Mizter T" wrote

Having thought about it, I'm possibly even warming just a little
(though only a little) to the notion that, given the seemingly
inevitable downfall of the existing SLL service, an enhanced Vic-
Dartford service plus the new ELL phase 2 service might not be such a
bad result, and that the loss of the proposed 'SLL replacement' Vic-
Bellingham service can be taken on the chin (a shame, and it would be
nice to have it, but perhaps not a complete essential). Part of the
problem is the way in which this has all been handled, i.e. in a
rather furtive and underhand manner.

Maybe stops at Denmark Hill and Peckham Rye could even be inserted on
a few other trains that currently run fast along the Catford Loop to
and from Victoria?


One problem with using Victoria - Dartford trains to replace the Victoria -
London Bridge SLL service, at least when the Battersea Park junction is
severed, is that there is no route between the Chatham high level lines and
the platforms at Wandsworth Road. It is possible to go via Stewarts Lane,
though the layout at Battersea Pier Junction would complicate platforming at
Victoria (the up low level route feeds into the Up Chatham Slow, so ideally
routed into Victoria platforms 5-8, while the down low level feeds out of
the Down Chatham Fast, so ideally out of platforms 1-4). If Battersea Park
is retained, AIUI Networkers are barred from the route (though it may or may
not take much to clear it for them).

There is currently one up morning peak long distance train to Victoria which
calls at Denmark Hill en route, and before the December timetable change
there were three, so stops by fast trains here and/or at Peckham Rye are not
out of the question. Indeed, during the period in the 1980s when the SLL
service was peak hours only, and hourly off-peak Victoria - Maidstone East
train called at Denmark Hill (and later, at Peckham Rye as well).

Peter


Mizter T January 22nd 10 08:33 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 22, 6:04*pm, Martin Petrov
wrote:

That said, for anyone working in the vicinity of the Old Street
roundabout, then a walk over from Hoxton is rather more doable. So
there's a possibility of the ELL taking a few pax away from FCC's Great
Northern Electrics / Northern City line service into Moorgate via Old
Street, dependent on where they're heading of course (and also where
they're starting from - if it's Highbury & Islington that's one thing,
but if people are coming from further out say on the Great Northern
Electrics service then faffing about changing at H&I becomes less
attractive, esp. if the walk is the same or longer at the other end!).


If you live anywhere on the H&I-Dalston-Hoxton route, and you work in
Old St, you're going to get the bus, without any question, surely? It's
always going to be quicker/cheaper?

(and in fact, if it's not raining, surely 90% of people would walk from
any of those places, making a much larger saving!)


Yes, quite possibly - to the bus bit at least. Don't think you'd find
90% of people walking though (unfortunately).

walkit.com has Highbury Corner (i.e. H&I) to Old Street roundabout as
being 1.7 miles, so a 25 mins fast pace/ 34 mins medium pace, whilst
Dalston Junction (well, Dalston Kingsland station actually) to Old
Street is 1.8 miles, so basically the same timings. (I think I'm at
their fast pace, except on a v hot day or perhaps when, er, rather
merry!)

From Highbury Corner/ H&I there's the 271 bus to Old Street the direct
way via Canonbury Road, or the more indirect (but poss almost as fast)
43 bus via the Angel then City Road. The Great Northern/ Northern City
line service also doesn't have a Tube-like frequency, and isn't that
fast - if it was like the Victoria line then it'd get more custom for
short hops like this.

There are four frequent bus routes down the Kingsland Road, though I
think it can perhaps be a bit slow going at peak times as both the
buses and the road are busy (though yes a lot of it does have a bus
lane(s)).

Perhaps if one was heading from Dalston more towards the Liverpool
Street side of the City instead of around Old Street then jumping on a
frequent train from Dalston Junction and being able to shoot down past
it all high up on a viaduct to SHS station might well have its
attractions - but of course it would also have it's zone 1 expense,
which is where we came in!

And then there's a bike as well, of course!

Mizter T January 22nd 10 08:36 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 

On Jan 22, 7:23*pm, Paul Corfield wrote:

On Fri, 22 Jan 2010 05:46:10 -0800 (PST), Mizter T
wrote:

On Jan 22, 4:33*am, "DW downunder" noname wrote:
And may I ask, for those who walked from LB, what would be the pricing and
access issues if they were to use Whitechapel instead?


Whitechapel is and will remain in zone 2, but it's that bit further
away from the City - it will certainly be an option for anyone who
works on that edge of the City (say around Aldgate) and is willing to
walk a bit, but the lay of the land makes it that bit less attractive
to do so - SHS is closer to where it's going on (in City office terms
- Whitechapel market seems to be where it's at for dodgy DVD street
sales...).


So, from points south Whitechapel + walk is a possible option for
avoiding zone 1. The old Shoreditch ELL station (in zone 2) was also
used by a cadre of City commuters - indeed it only had a peak hours
service (though the service window was quite wide), but as we now know
the quasi-replacement SHS station will be in zone 1.


Or jump on a bus into the city - 25 and 205 from Whitechapel or the 100
from Shadwell. *A Z23 Travelcard is valid on all TfL buses across London
as there are no zones. Clearly it depends on how time sensitive people
are but it is possible to avoid the Zone 1 premium if you're prepared to
change.


Indeed - I omitted to mention the bus!

(Though doesn't the Zone 1 premium help to fund your meal ticket? ;) )

Mizter T January 22nd 10 09:21 PM

South London Line issues [was: ELL Stock in Place]
 

On Jan 22, 8:57*pm, "Peter Masson" wrote:

"Mizter T" wrote

Having thought about it, I'm possibly even warming just a little
(though only a little) to the notion that, given the seemingly
inevitable downfall of the existing SLL service, an enhanced Vic-
Dartford service plus the new ELL phase 2 service might not be such a
bad result, and that the loss of the proposed 'SLL replacement' Vic-
Bellingham service can be taken on the chin (a shame, and it would be
nice to have it, but perhaps not a complete essential). Part of the
problem is the way in which this has all been handled, i.e. in a
rather furtive and underhand manner.


Maybe stops at Denmark Hill and Peckham Rye could even be inserted on
a few other trains that currently run fast along the Catford Loop to
and from Victoria?


One problem with using Victoria - Dartford trains to replace the Victoria -
London Bridge SLL service, at least when the Battersea Park junction is
severed, is that there is no route between the Chatham high level lines and
the platforms at Wandsworth Road. It is possible to go via Stewarts Lane,
though the layout at Battersea Pier Junction would complicate platforming at
Victoria (the up low level route feeds into the Up Chatham Slow, so ideally
routed into Victoria platforms 5-8, while the down low level feeds out of
the Down Chatham Fast, so ideally out of platforms 1-4). If Battersea Park
is retained, AIUI Networkers are barred from the route (though it may or may
not take much to clear it for them).


Yes, that's a very good point, I hadn't really thought about that
issue. Hmm. Well, I suppose the brutal solution would be to simply
give up on serving Wandsworth Road with Victoria trains altogether,
and leave it for ELL phase 2 to serve, and tell pax that they can do
one of four things...

* get to Victoria by going to Clapham Jn on the ELL and changing
(though the geographical daftness of that does offend me somewhat)
* get the bus to Vauxhall and then tube (or another bus) to Victoria
* walk to Clapham High Street and catch the train from there (AIUI the
Vic-Dartford trains could serve Clapham HS, as there's a junction the
name of which I forget that provides access to and from the Atlantic
Line)
* walk to Battersea Park and get a train (though the walk isn't all
that direct as there's all this railway land in the middle! Plus
they're not not the most appealing of streets to walk down.)

Not ideal in any case though. If a portion of the Up low level line
through Stewart's Lane could be made reversible where it joins the
Chatham Slow, might that work? (I dare say that something like that is
far far easier said than done!)


There is currently one up morning peak long distance train to Victoria which
calls at Denmark Hill en route, and before the December timetable change
there were three, so stops by fast trains here and/or at Peckham Rye are not
out of the question. Indeed, during the period in the 1980s when the SLL
service was peak hours only, and hourly off-peak Victoria - Maidstone East
train called at Denmark Hill (and later, at Peckham Rye as well).


I think that it's around there (Denmark Hill and Peckham Rye) where a
lot of the opposition and campaigning has been been brewing (though
I'm a bit out of the loop on the latest) - so putting in some extra
stops might address matters somewhat. Though at Denmark Hill I think
the loss of a through service to London Bridge is quite a big part of
it (the almost adjacent King's College Hospital is part of the same
Trust as Guy's Hospital next to London Bridge, and I think this
arrangement manages to generate a certain degree of inter-hospital
traffic of staff, patients and students, and so this is where some of
the noise is coming from).

eastender[_4_] January 22nd 10 09:28 PM

ELL Stock in Place
 
In article
,
Mizter T wrote:

Perhaps if one was heading from Dalston more towards the Liverpool
Street side of the City instead of around Old Street then jumping on a
frequent train from Dalston Junction and being able to shoot down past
it all high up on a viaduct to SHS station might well have its
attractions - but of course it would also have it's zone 1 expense,
which is where we came in!


We live on the 76 route, which goes through Dalston and gets you to Old
Street and Moorgate (and a short cut through to Liverpool Street) and
Bank. It's usually pretty fast and a short walk away are the 141 and 21,
likewise, and since the 21 started coming up this way then the bus
overcrowding has got better.

The Kingsland Road buses are also a short walk away - Kingsland Road is
surprisingly traffic free south of Dalston until you get to the
Shoreditch system.

E.

Peter Masson[_2_] January 22nd 10 09:45 PM

South London Line issues [was: ELL Stock in Place]
 


"Mizter T" wrote

Yes, that's a very good point, I hadn't really thought about that
issue. Hmm. Well, I suppose the brutal solution would be to simply
give up on serving Wandsworth Road with Victoria trains altogether,
and leave it for ELL phase 2 to serve, and tell pax that they can do
one of four things...

* get to Victoria by going to Clapham Jn on the ELL and changing
(though the geographical daftness of that does offend me somewhat)
* get the bus to Vauxhall and then tube (or another bus) to Victoria
* walk to Clapham High Street and catch the train from there (AIUI the
Vic-Dartford trains could serve Clapham HS, as there's a junction the
name of which I forget that provides access to and from the Atlantic
Line)
* walk to Battersea Park and get a train (though the walk isn't all
that direct as there's all this railway land in the middle! Plus
they're not not the most appealing of streets to walk down.)
Not ideal in any case though. If a portion of the Up low level line
through Stewart's Lane could be made reversible where it joins the
Chatham Slow, might that work? (I dare say that something like that is
far far easier said than done!)

I think that it's around there (Denmark Hill and Peckham Rye) where a
lot of the opposition and campaigning has been been brewing (though
I'm a bit out of the loop on the latest) - so putting in some extra
stops might address matters somewhat. Though at Denmark Hill I think
the loss of a through service to London Bridge is quite a big part of
it (the almost adjacent King's College Hospital is part of the same
Trust as Guy's Hospital next to London Bridge, and I think this
arrangement manages to generate a certain degree of inter-hospital
traffic of staff, patients and students, and so this is where some of
the noise is coming from).


The junction between Clapham High Street and Wandsworth Road is Voltaire
Road Junction.

IMHO making the up low level line reversible is a non-starter - from Clapham
High Street the Chatham side has effectively produced a 4-track approach to
Victoria, using the low level route as the up slow, and the reversible slow
between Battersea Pier Junction and Voltaire Road as effectively the down
slow. So without significant track and signalling work I don't think serving
Wandsworth Road with Victoria trains is practicable. And I don't think it's
worth keeping Clapham High Street to Victoria trains. Apart from
claustrophobics who want a surface journey at the expense of frequency,
anyone making this journey will do better by LUL from Clapham North via
Stockwell.

The reduction from 4tph to 2tph between Victoria, Denmark Hill, and Peckham
Rye might seem a retrograde step, but in practice the SLL and Dartford
trains mostly run very close to each other, followed by a near 30 minute gap
to the next pair. Ideally this is a flow that should be provided with the
(ex-) Mayor of London's aim for at least a 15 minute clockface service on NR
lines in London, though rather than a new service to Bellingham I'd rather
see the Dartford via Bexleyheath service augmented with a Victoria to Sidcup
service (which can avoid some of the worst conflicts on the flat crossing at
Lewisham, especially if Cannon Street to Sidcup trains are run via Parks
Bridge direct, as they wouldn't need to serve Lewisham).

While the loss of through trains between Denmark Hill and London Bridge is
regrettable, passengers making this journey will be able to do it with a
same-platform change (at Peckham Rye or Queens Road Peckham) and will have a
new possibility of travelling to Blackfriars and using the new South Bank
entrance.

Peter



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