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Optimist · July 18th 16, 09:53 AM posted to uk.transport.london

On Mon, 18 Jul 2016 08:46:08 +0000 (UTC), d wrote:

On Mon, 18 Jul 2016 09:19:02 +0100
Neil Williams wrote:
On 2016-07-16 20:45:50 +0000, said:

Unlike the SNP, it seems that UKIP is in no shape on the ground to pick up
the Labour seats. Look at the pattern of local government byelection results
I post each week in uk.politics.electoral. UKIP's vote has been falling with
Labour winning their safe seats by default, even though they are losing a
few more marginal seats to the Tories. UKIP often can't find candidates to
defend their seats. One of this week's four Lib Dem gains was a gain in such
a seat.

I wonder if UKIP will now slowly die off - it was still really a
single-issue party, and their main matter of campaign has been set in
motion.

Also now that Farage has gone they don't have anyone high profile left to
campaign. They said he quit because of threats but politicians get them all
the time anyway. He's a smart cookie and I suspect he knew that once they got
the referendum result UKIP raison d'etre pretty much vanished overnight.
However if for whatever reason Article 50 doesn't get enacted I expect to see
him pop up again.

Farage is going to see his term out in the European parliament. If the government haven't got us
out of the EU by 2019 you never know he might stand again!

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