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Adrian Auer-Hudson, MIMIS June 27th 07 09:04 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On Jun 27, 12:39 pm, Ian wrote:
On 27 Jun, 20:33, The Good Doctor wrote:

So Gordon is in No. 10 at last.


What changes will we see in transport policy, especially towards rail?


If oly we had an ex-civil servant who kept banging on about his inside
contacts here we might know better

My guess: much more PFI.

Ian


My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.

Adrian


Mr Thant June 27th 07 09:19 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On Jun 27, 10:04 pm, "Adrian Auer-Hudson, MIMIS"
wrote:
My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.


It already has the government's full support - the current hurdle is
getting it through parliament, which isn't really something you can
announce. I don't think any progress can be made until there's been a
few months of consultation whatnot over the recent Woolwich changes.
The only thing Brown could announce is scrapping it.

The Thameslink Programme, on the other hand...

U

--
http://londonconnections.blogspot.com/


Paul Scott June 27th 07 09:23 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 

"Mr Thant" wrote in message
oups.com...
On Jun 27, 10:04 pm, "Adrian Auer-Hudson, MIMIS"
wrote:
My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.


It already has the government's full support - the current hurdle is
getting it through parliament, which isn't really something you can
announce. I don't think any progress can be made until there's been a
few months of consultation whatnot over the recent Woolwich changes.
The only thing Brown could announce is scrapping it.


That should lead to a few questions about rail policy differences between
Scotland and England - is it the Alloa - Kincardine route that goes through
or near Brown's constituency?

Paul



Peter Masson June 27th 07 09:39 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 

"Paul Scott" wrote

That should lead to a few questions about rail policy differences between
Scotland and England - is it the Alloa - Kincardine route that goes

through
or near Brown's constituency?

AIUI not through, or even very close to his constituency - but by taking the
coal trains for Kincardine Power Station away from the Forth Bridge it
should improve the performance of the passenger trains which do serve
Kirkcaldy.

Peter



David H June 27th 07 11:50 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 

AIUI not through, or even very close to his constituency - but by taking the
coal trains for Kincardine Power Station away from the Forth Bridge it
should improve the performance of the passenger trains which do serve
Kirkcaldy.

Peter


Are EWS et al still threatening to boycott the Alloa Line? For those
not aware, NR appear to be charging a premium for access to the line
for freight operators even though it isn't exactly a highly desirable
alternative routing for them. It might make more sense to charge a
premium for the bridge route.

As for discrepancies in transport policy between Westminster and
Holyrood, what of it exactly? The PM has no authority to alter the
way the Scots parliament chooses to spend it's allocation of funds.
If it appears to observers south of the border that transport projects
are getting more backing in Scotland than in England, then less money
will have to be spent on something else in England, as it is in
Scotland, in order to fund the rail network expansion.

You get ought for nought, it's all give and take, quid pro quo etc.
The M8 is a motorway?? Where?!?



Colin Rosenstiel June 28th 07 01:26 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
In article .com,
(Mr Thant) wrote:

On Jun 27, 10:04 pm, "Adrian Auer-Hudson, MIMIS"
wrote:
My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.


It already has the government's full support - the current hurdle is
getting it through parliament, which isn't really something you can
announce. I don't think any progress can be made until there's been
a few months of consultation whatnot over the recent Woolwich changes.
The only thing Brown could announce is scrapping it.


You're having a laugh surely? They have agreed no public funding at all.

The Thameslink Programme, on the other hand...


It's waiting for CSR2007 later in the year (allegedly, at current
slippage rates it'll be 2008) for a funding decision. The planning
permissions have been obtained.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

Ernst S Blofeld June 28th 07 02:10 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
Adrian Auer-Hudson, MIMIS wrote:
My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.


The announcement will feature 'cross' and 'rail' in it alright - as in
'rail passengers become very cross' - if this story is to be believed;

http://business.timesonline.co.uk/to...cle1996604.ece

"Train fares will rise by several times the rate of inflation under a
series of deals between the Government and rail companies designed to
take advantage of record growth in demand for rail travel."

ESB

®i©ardo June 28th 07 07:01 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
Mr Thant wrote:
On Jun 27, 10:04 pm, "Adrian Auer-Hudson, MIMIS"
wrote:
My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.


It already has the government's full support - the current hurdle is
getting it through parliament,


Why should the government revert to the outdated practice of consulting
Parliament? You'll probably find that there's been an "enabling order"
which means that that's the last thing they'll do.



which isn't really something you can
announce. I don't think any progress can be made until there's been a
few months of consultation whatnot over the recent Woolwich changes.
The only thing Brown could announce is scrapping it.

The Thameslink Programme, on the other hand...

U

--
http://londonconnections.blogspot.com/



--
Moving things in still pictures!

Mr Thant June 28th 07 07:04 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On Jun 28, 2:26 am, (Colin Rosenstiel) wrote:
You're having a laugh surely? They have agreed no public funding at all.


Sorry, should have been clearer - I meant it has full support for
getting it past the current stage, and there's not a lot Brown could
do to expedite that.

U


Ian June 28th 07 08:03 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On 27 Jun, 22:19, Mr Thant
wrote:
On Jun 27, 10:04 pm, "Adrian Auer-Hudson, MIMIS"

wrote:
My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.


It already has the government's full support ...


.... but not "support" in the sense of "financial backing". And if
there is one thing Mr Brown is good at, it's recognizing a monumental
waste of money when he sees one.

Hmm. Let's see. Electrify every main line in the UK, or build a tunnel
to make it slightly easier to commute from Maidenhead to Canary Wharf?
Tough call.

Ian


David Hansen June 28th 07 08:09 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On Wed, 27 Jun 2007 22:23:04 +0100 someone who may be "Paul Scott"
wrote this:-

That should lead to a few questions about rail policy differences between
Scotland and England - is it the Alloa - Kincardine route that goes through
or near Brown's constituency?


The Stirling - Alloa - Kincardine line does not go particularly near
Mr Brown's constituency, or his former constituency. However, if EWS
can sort out the stupid tolling regime, which the Executive were
still talking of the last time I heard, then they will take their
coal trains away from the Forth Bridge, which is used by many people
in his constituency.



--
David Hansen, Edinburgh
I will *always* explain revoked encryption keys, unless RIP prevents me
http://www.opsi.gov.uk/acts/acts2000/00023--e.htm#54

®i©ardo June 28th 07 08:54 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
Ian wrote:
On 27 Jun, 22:19, Mr Thant
wrote:
On Jun 27, 10:04 pm, "Adrian Auer-Hudson, MIMIS"

wrote:
My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.

It already has the government's full support ...


... but not "support" in the sense of "financial backing". And if
there is one thing Mr Brown is good at, it's recognizing a monumental
waste of money when he sees one.


So all those extra civil servants are "good value for money"?

Hmm. Let's see. Electrify every main line in the UK, or build a tunnel
to make it slightly easier to commute from Maidenhead to Canary Wharf?
Tough call.

Ian



--
Moving things in still pictures!

Mr Thant June 28th 07 09:03 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On 28 Jun, 08:01, ®i©ardo wrote:
Why should the government revert to the outdated practice of consulting
Parliament? You'll probably find that there's been an "enabling order"
which means that that's the last thing they'll do.


Except it's what they are doing:
http://www.publications.parliament.u...05062.i-v.html

Perhaps you should let them know they don't have to.

U

--
http://londonconnections.blogspot.com/


John B June 28th 07 09:15 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On 27 Jun, 22:19, Mr Thant
wrote:
My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.


It already has the government's full support - the current hurdle is
getting it through parliament, which isn't really something you can
announce. I don't think any progress can be made until there's been a
few months of consultation whatnot over the recent Woolwich changes.
The only thing Brown could announce is scrapping it.


Not quite. Getting it through parliament is not a problem - the bill
will pass, because there is no serious opposition to it (apart from
people who think that its only purpose is to speed commuting times
between Maidenhead and Canary Wharf - I suspect these are the same
people who thought Thameslink's purpose was to speed commuting times
between Streatham and St Albans).

However, as any fule kno, the stumbling block for the last few years
has been on where the money's coming from. If Gordon wants to gain
popularity and credibility with London voters and business leaders,
then an announcement on Crossrail financing - obviously conditional on
the passage of the bill - would be a good way to do so.

--
John Band
john at johnband dot org
www.johnband.org


Sky Rider June 28th 07 10:23 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
Colin Rosenstiel wrote:
In article .com,
(Mr Thant) wrote:
The Thameslink Programme, on the other hand...


It's waiting for CSR2007 later in the year (allegedly, at current
slippage rates it'll be 2008) for a funding decision. The planning
permissions have been obtained.


CSR2007? Since when was that bandied about? AFAIAA it's actually PR2008,
although there may have been a change I'm not aware of. The fate of TL
will be tied to the HLOS and SoFA which the Gov. is required to publish
by July 31, although the latest I've heard is that it's due before July
26 when they break up for recess.

As far as bad omens go, however, I wonder what will happen if our
Darling friend becomes Chancellor?

Kev June 28th 07 10:41 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On Jun 28, 10:15 am, John B wrote:
On 27 Jun, 22:19, Mr Thant
wrote:
(apart from
people who think that its only purpose is to speed commuting times
between Maidenhead and Canary Wharf - I suspect these are the same
people who thought Thameslink's purpose was to speed commuting times
between Streatham and St Albans).

You mean to say that isn't what it is for. Oh hang they are joining up
the link into Heathrow, just to give a bit more justification. Also
amazing how Canary Wharf came into the picture otherwise it was dead
duck. You would have thought that had somebody decided to spend
billions developing a run down dock area into a large business area
that they would have given somethought about how to get people in and
out, and perhaps stumping up some cash.

Kevin



John B June 28th 07 10:54 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On 28 Jun, 11:41, Kev wrote:
(apart from
people who think that its only purpose is to speed commuting times
between Maidenhead and Canary Wharf - I suspect these are the same
people who thought Thameslink's purpose was to speed commuting times
between Streatham and St Albans).


You mean to say that isn't what it is for. Oh hang they are joining up
the link into Heathrow, just to give a bit more justification. Also
amazing how Canary Wharf came into the picture otherwise it was dead
duck. You would have thought that had somebody decided to spend
billions developing a run down dock area into a large business area
that they would have given somethought about how to get people in and
out, and perhaps stumping up some cash.


The point is that it relieves the pressure on all the central
Underground lines plus Liverpool Street and Paddington mainline
stations, plus the other transport links to Heathrow. It will buy
another 10 years of Central London's public transport network not
being unusably overcrowded (i.e. in 10 years' time when Crossrail
opens, the network will be left only as overcrowded as it is today,
rather than more so).

And Canary Wharf's developers stumped up cash for the DLR and the JLE,
and will most likely stump up cash for Crossrail as well (assuming the
private sector funding model is based on the award of development
rights, which is likely).

--
John Band
john at johnband dot org
www.johnband.org/blog


Sky Rider June 28th 07 11:03 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
Let me rephrase that last question - what will happen now that our
Darling Chancellor has arrived?

Mr Thant June 28th 07 11:04 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On 28 Jun, 10:15, John B wrote:
However, as any fule kno, the stumbling block for the last few years
has been on where the money's coming from. If Gordon wants to gain
popularity and credibility with London voters and business leaders,
then an announcement on Crossrail financing - obviously conditional on
the passage of the bill - would be a good way to do so.


Maybe. But I'd think a funding commitment would be a risky idea
politically. It could easily look like throwing money at an
extravagant project with no real care, that will only benefit a few
Londoners and a few big city businesses etc etc. All of the
politically safe moves (funding development, introducing a bill) have
already been done.

I'm sure there will be a big song and dance when/if it does get
funding, but now doesn't seem like a good time to me.

U

--
http://londonconnections.blogspot.com


bobrayner June 28th 07 11:04 AM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On 28 Jun, 00:50, David H wrote:
AIUI not through, or even very close to his constituency - but by taking the
coal trains for Kincardine Power Station away from the Forth Bridge it
should improve the performance of the passenger trains which do serve
Kirkcaldy.


Peter


Are EWS et al still threatening to boycott the Alloa Line? For those
not aware, NR appear to be charging a premium for access to the line
for freight operators even though it isn't exactly a highly desirable
alternative routing for them. It might make more sense to charge a
premium for the bridge route.

As for discrepancies in transport policy between Westminster and
Holyrood, what of it exactly? The PM has no authority to alter the
way the Scots parliament chooses to spend it's allocation of funds.
If it appears to observers south of the border that transport projects
are getting more backing in Scotland than in England, then less money
will have to be spent on something else in England, as it is in
Scotland, in order to fund the rail network expansion.

You get ought for nought, it's all give and take, quid pro quo etc.
The M8 is a motorway?? Where?!?


Quite. Perhaps more of England's money could be spent on English
projects, rather than being sent across the border to be spent on
Scottish projects. ;-)


[email protected] June 28th 07 01:21 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On Jun 28, 12:04 pm, Mr Thant
wrote:
On 28 Jun, 10:15, John B wrote:

However, as any fule kno, the stumbling block for the last few years
has been on where the money's coming from. If Gordon wants to gain
popularity and credibility with London voters and business leaders,
then an announcement on Crossrail financing - obviously conditional on
the passage of the bill - would be a good way to do so.


Maybe. But I'd think a funding commitment would be a risky idea
politically. It could easily look like throwing money at an
extravagant project with no real care, that will only benefit a few
Londoners and a few big city businesses etc etc. All of the
politically safe moves (funding development, introducing a bill) have
already been done.


But it won't just benefit a few Londoners. It'll indirectly benefit
just about everyone that ever uses public transport in London - that
must be about 20% of the country. Plus it'd have the added benefit of
stopping the economy from grinding to a halt because noone in London
can get about any more.

Jonn Elledge


kytelly June 28th 07 01:27 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On 27 Jun, 22:19, Mr Thant
wrote:


My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.


The Thameslink Programme, on the other hand...


Yes my money is on Thameslink being announced as its;
a) further advanced
b) cheaper
c) first phase can be (probably) completed before the olympics
d) Less likely to soak up civil resources that would be needed for
said games (Dont get me wrong; its a lot of work just not the same
magnitude as Crossrail)

For the next five years everything in political terms is governed by
the olympic timetable. I would be very surprised if there is a serious
start on Crossrail till its over.


John B June 28th 07 01:53 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On 28 Jun, 14:27, kytelly wrote:
For the next five years everything in political terms is governed by
the olympic timetable. I would be very surprised if there is a serious
start on Crossrail till its over.


I had thought this - but someone clever (possibly on u.t.l/u.r)
recently pointed out to me that one of the few things the Olympics
*won't* need in civil engineering terms is skilled, specialised
tunnellers and customised, specialised boring machines. Therefore,
these will be among the few resources within the building market that
*aren't* at a massive premium during the lead-up to 2012.

If my understanding of the construction process is right, and if
Crossrail building were to start next year, then the main work for
about the first five years would be the tunnelling. Fit-out and
surface construction would then kick off around 2013: conveniently in
time to use all the builders freed up by the completion (/abandonment,
depending on your levels of cynicism) of Olympic works.

--
John Band
john at johnband dot org
www.johnband.org/blog


Kev June 28th 07 02:43 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On Jun 28, 11:54 am, John B wrote:
On 28 Jun, 11:41, Kev wrote:



And Canary Wharf's developers stumped up cash for the DLR and the JLE,
and will most likely stump up cash for Crossrail as well (assuming the
private sector funding model is based on the award of development
rights, which is likely).

Really, what percentage of the cost of the Jubilee Ext and the DLR did
they cough up and are the developers currently putting money into the
Jubilee resignalling or DLR works.

Kevin



John B June 28th 07 03:12 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On 28 Jun, 15:43, Kev wrote:
And Canary Wharf's developers stumped up cash for the DLR and the JLE,
and will most likely stump up cash for Crossrail as well (assuming the
private sector funding model is based on the award of development
rights, which is likely).


Really, what percentage of the cost of the Jubilee Ext and the DLR did
they cough up and are the developers currently putting money into the
Jubilee resignalling or DLR works.


They put up £400m for the JLE (although they went bust over roughly
the same period, so not sure how much actually got paid out), and £70m
for the DLR (out of c£300m cost for the original line plus the
extension to Bank).

They're not paying for the JLE resignalling, because the deal behind
the £400m was that it would fund a railway that worked. And they're
not paying for the new DLR extensions, because these are for the
benefit of the Olympics/CTRL (Stratford Intl to Custom House),
Woolwich regeneration (King George V to Woolwich), and Dagenham Dock
regeneration (Canning Town to Dagenham Dock).

I don't know whether or to what extent developers in these areas are
funding the DLR extensions.

--
John Band
john at johnband dot org
www.johnband.org


kytelly June 28th 07 03:24 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On 28 Jun, 14:53, John B wrote:
On 28 Jun, 14:27, kytelly wrote:

For the next five years everything in political terms is governed by
the olympic timetable. I would be very surprised if there is a serious
start on Crossrail till its over.


I had thought this - but someone clever (possibly on u.t.l/u.r)
recently pointed out to me that one of the few things the Olympics
*won't* need in civil engineering terms is skilled, specialised
tunnellers and customised, specialised boring machines. Therefore,
these will be among the few resources within the building market that
*aren't* at a massive premium during the lead-up to 2012.

If my understanding of the construction process is right, and if
Crossrail building were to start next year, then the main work for
about the first five years would be the tunnelling. Fit-out and
surface construction would then kick off around 2013: conveniently in
time to use all the builders freed up by the completion (/abandonment,
depending on your levels of cynicism) of Olympic works.

--
John Band
john at johnband dot orgwww.johnband.org/blog


Hmm I take your point but I think we're both feeling around in the
dark a bit here as neither of us are civil engineers. I would suggest
that the actual tunneling is but one part of building a tunnel;
Design, project management and proffessional services would have a lot
of overlap with other big projects. I'm not saying it wouldnt be
possible but the way this country seems to work would rule out two
mega civil projects running concurrently.


Tom Anderson June 28th 07 04:20 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On Thu, 28 Jun 2007, John B wrote:

On 28 Jun, 11:41, Kev wrote:

(apart from people who think that its only purpose is to speed
commuting times between Maidenhead and Canary Wharf - I suspect these
are the same people who thought Thameslink's purpose was to speed
commuting times between Streatham and St Albans).


You mean to say that isn't what it is for.


The point is that it relieves the pressure on all the central
Underground lines


Well, the Central line, and i think the Met and District, but not to the
same degree. I don't believe it does anything for any other lines; my
memory of the relief maps in the hoary old Central London Rail study is
that most of the nice green and blue bits are to the east.

Now, if they'd gone for the Wimbledon alignment ...

plus Liverpool Street and Paddington mainline stations, plus the other
transport links to Heathrow.


AIUI, Crossrail will take over the Heathrow paths that are currently in
use by Heathrow Connect; it won't provide more trains. Although, of
course, they'll be twice the size. Is HC currently anywhere near capacity?
I've never heard it suggested that it is; i suspect the premium fare may
have something to do with this. Will that go away with Crossrail? Even if
not, i suspect Crossrail will be more attractive than HC, since you don't
have to change at Paddington.

tom

--
Biochemistry is the study of carbon compounds that wriggle.

Tom Anderson June 28th 07 04:34 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
On Thu, 28 Jun 2007, John B wrote:

On 27 Jun, 22:19, Mr Thant
wrote:

My guess: We have an anouncement on Crossrail soon.


It already has the government's full support - the current hurdle is
getting it through parliament, which isn't really something you can
announce. I don't think any progress can be made until there's been a
few months of consultation whatnot over the recent Woolwich changes.
The only thing Brown could announce is scrapping it.


However, as any fule kno, the stumbling block for the last few years has
been on where the money's coming from. If Gordon wants to gain
popularity and credibility with London voters and business leaders, then
an announcement on Crossrail financing - obviously conditional on the
passage of the bill - would be a good way to do so.


Three words: land value capture.

LVC is blindingly obviously the best way to fund large infrastructure
projects like this. The reason it hasn't been used yet is that there isn't
a legal framework to do it. El Gordo could announce that he was going to
put one in place, thereby showing people that he backs public transport
and that he's still a financial innovator, all for zero cost to the
Treasury.

tom

PS This document contains a few tidbits of info on LVC, starting on page
8; by coincidence, it also discusses privatisation of trunk roads, with
multiple competing routes between cities, as came up in another thread:

http://www.policyinstitute.info/AllPDFs/Bruce2Sep05.pdf

--
Biochemistry is the study of carbon compounds that wriggle.

Colin Rosenstiel June 28th 07 11:34 PM

New Prime Minister - New Transport Policy?
 
In article . com,
(Mr Thant) wrote:

On Jun 28, 2:26 am, (Colin Rosenstiel) wrote:
You're having a laugh surely? They have agreed no public funding
at all.


Sorry, should have been clearer - I meant it has full support for
getting it past the current stage, and there's not a lot Brown could
do to expedite that.


Not delaying CSR2007 until the autumn would have helped and was within
his control.

--
Colin Rosenstiel


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