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#1
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Roland Perry said:
In article , Chris Game writes The faults were generally reported as 'unrelated'. Do you know better? I haven't seen any reports that used the word "unrelated". The Energy Minister's comments on the BBC on Friday. For example: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/london/3190405.stm That report is entirely consistent with a theory that the second fault was triggered by the first. It even includes the expression "chain of events". The simplistic journalist's term 'Chain of Events' doesn't imply one event caused the next in the chain, it merely means one followed another. As yet there's no 'theory' to connect the two. My point is that if they're not related (i.e. with a common cause) then it's stretching the idea of co-incidence a bit to imagine two events happening within seven seconds. This point came up in the Three Mile Island enquiry, where apparently unrelated systems failed at the same time, the cause eventually being traced to design faults. The kind of reliability calculations that people thought protected them against disaster were thus found to be wrong (systems that were thought to be independent weren't, and probabilities therefore couldn't be multiplied together). -- ============================================= Chris Game chrisgame@!yahoo!dotcodotuk ============================================= |
#2
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Chris Game wrote:
Roland Perry said: In article , Chris Game writes The faults were generally reported as 'unrelated'. Do you know better? I haven't seen any reports that used the word "unrelated". The Energy Minister's comments on the BBC on Friday. Oh, a politician. -- James Farrar | London SE 13 | |
#3
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James Farrar said:
I haven't seen any reports that used the word "unrelated". The Energy Minister's comments on the BBC on Friday. Oh, a politician. Presumably talking after a briefing by the National Grid people. -- ============================================= Chris Game chrisgame@!yahoo!dotcodotuk ============================================= |
#4
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Chris Game wrote:
James Farrar said: I haven't seen any reports that used the word "unrelated". The Energy Minister's comments on the BBC on Friday. Oh, a politician. Presumably talking after a briefing by the National Grid people. Perhaps. And even if so, there's no guarantee that the Minister's comments accurately reflect the content of the briefing. -- James Farrar | London SE 13 | |
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