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-   -   Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead (https://www.londonbanter.co.uk/london-transport/7467-heathrow-third-runway-get-go.html)

Mizter T January 15th 09 12:51 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/7829676.stm

Well, there you go. I have to say I was unsure about whether the
government would opt for it bit it seems they have. To make good use
of the vernacular, there is going to be a total and utter **** storm
about this. It's going to prompt massive and wide scale protests from
a whole cross-section of people. I'm not quite sure how the Tories
pledge of no third runway fits in with this - if the Tories are
elected in 2010 will they scrap work on it? One can only presume that
nothing will have actually happened on the ground by then.

The BBC article has this to say on the time scale of proceedings:

---quote---
Asked about the decision on Wednesday, Prime Minister Gordon Brown
declined to guarantee MPs a vote on the issue.

Should the government give the go-ahead, he said there would be a
debate in Parliament and that the scheme would have to be granted
planning permission.

This is likely to be a lengthy process, with work on a new runway
unlike to be completed before 2019
---/quote---


Also, with regards to the whole issue of high-speed rail links and
Heathrow Hubs and the like, the BBC piece only says this:
---quote---
Alongside the commitment to a new runway, Transport Secretary Geoff
Hoon is expected to announce increased investment in public transport,
including a new high-speed rail link from the airport to central
London.
---/quote---

I suspect that's not what is really meant - or is it? Surely the Big
Idea is to link in Heathrow to a new north-south high-speed line - but
it's far from clear whether the current government might actually
subscribe to this Big Idea, even as part of a package along with
making Heathrow the transport hub of the known Universe.

David Hansen January 15th 09 07:24 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
On Wed, 14 Jan 2009 17:51:21 -0800 (PST) someone who may be Mizter T
wrote this:-

---quote---
Alongside the commitment to a new runway, Transport Secretary Geoff
Hoon is expected to announce increased investment in public transport,
including a new high-speed rail link from the airport to central
London.
---/quote---

I suspect that's not what is really meant - or is it?


I'll wait for the announcement. However, they faced two choices:

1) the same old stuff which has got this in the current mess. Expand
Heathrow and provide some fig leaves for the embarrassed to hide
behind.

2) put their claimed policies on climate change, equatability, the
economy and jobs into action. Get rid of most of the short distance
flights by transferring the trips onto trains, leaving plenty of
space for long distance flights.



--
David Hansen, Edinburgh
I will *always* explain revoked encryption keys, unless RIP prevents me
http://www.opsi.gov.uk/acts/acts2000/00023--e.htm#54

Roland Perry January 15th 09 07:48 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message
, at
17:51:21 on Wed, 14 Jan 2009, Mizter T remarked:
---quote---
Alongside the commitment to a new runway, Transport Secretary Geoff
Hoon is expected to announce increased investment in public transport,
including a new high-speed rail link from the airport to central
London.
---/quote---

I suspect that's not what is really meant - or is it?


They seem to be talking about a new line from Heathrow to St Pancras.

The original HEx plans had a second terminus at St Pancras, via a route
through north London - this new one might be a tunnel. Is it too late to
divert Crossrail slightly, and have one of its stations at St Pancras?
Or maybe a very long travelator from Farringdon :)
--
Roland Perry

Paul Scott January 15th 09 08:21 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 

"Roland Perry" wrote in message
...
In message
, at
17:51:21 on Wed, 14 Jan 2009, Mizter T remarked:
---quote---
Alongside the commitment to a new runway, Transport Secretary Geoff
Hoon is expected to announce increased investment in public transport,
including a new high-speed rail link from the airport to central
London.
---/quote---

I suspect that's not what is really meant - or is it?


They seem to be talking about a new line from Heathrow to St Pancras.

The original HEx plans had a second terminus at St Pancras, via a route
through north London - this new one might be a tunnel. Is it too late to
divert Crossrail slightly, and have one of its stations at St Pancras? Or
maybe a very long travelator from Farringdon :)


Crossrail is not an 'express' service. Its services are all stations
stoppers
from the airport, which is why it takes over Connect, not HEx. Unless it is
to have overtaking loops of course...

Looking at the supposed hub proposals, I suspect the existing HEx will be
almost as fast to the existing terminals 123 (East) and 5, as it won't
include a change at the 'Hub'. Given the tunnel from St Pancras to
Stratford, and as far as the surface at Dagenham, is speed limited, the
latest proposals also probably won't necessarily provide HSL speeds as far
as Heathrow anyway?

Paul




[email protected] January 15th 09 08:35 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
On Jan 15, 1:51*am, Mizter T wrote:
of the vernacular, there is going to be a total and utter **** storm
about this. It's going to prompt massive and wide scale protests from


Especially given that passenger numbers at heathrow are dropping
according to this report. The whole thing stinks. Wouldn't surprise me
if the whole thing is just an excuse for the government to create
another show project to pretend their in touch with business.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2...4/baa-heathrow

B2003

Roland Perry January 15th 09 08:36 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message , at 09:21:53 on
Thu, 15 Jan 2009, Paul Scott remarked:
Given the tunnel from St Pancras to Stratford, and as far as the
surface at Dagenham, is speed limited, the latest proposals also
probably won't necessarily provide HSL speeds as far as Heathrow anyway?


I'd be very surprised if plans for a HSL from Heathrow to St Pancras
were in any way inhibited from describing a similarly speed restricted
tunnel as "High Speed".

It's all spin, anyway. Like the so-called High Speed line from Brussels
to Amsterdam, which will use the existing tracks (no faster than 15
minute transit time) from [a little before] Schiphol into the city
centre.
--
Roland Perry

Roland Perry January 15th 09 09:08 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message
, at
01:35:13 on Thu, 15 Jan 2009, remarked:
Especially given that passenger numbers at heathrow are dropping
according to this report. The whole thing stinks.


We are in a "bust", so of course short-term passenger numbers are likely
to fall. The new runway is (one possible) solution for the capacity
required in the next "boom". If there's not going to be another "boom",
we don't need a lot of things, including Crossrail.
--
Roland Perry

EE507[_2_] January 15th 09 09:12 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
On Jan 15, 1:51*am, Mizter T wrote:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/7829676.stm

Well, there you go. I have to say I was unsure about whether the
government would opt for it bit it seems they have. To make good use
of the vernacular, there is going to be a total and utter **** storm
about this. It's going to prompt massive and wide scale protests from
a whole cross-section of people. I'm not quite sure how the Tories
pledge of no third runway fits in with this - if the Tories are
elected in 2010 will they scrap work on it? One can only presume that
nothing will have actually happened on the ground by then.


The Tories can't decide whether they object to an expansion of airport
capacity on principle, or whether, as Boris says, it's just Heathrow
that is unsuitable. Rather like Labour didn't reverse rail
privatisation when they came to power, I suspect the Tories wouldn't
reverse any decision on Heathrow. Anyway, let's wait for the official
announcement.

[email protected] January 15th 09 09:23 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
On Jan 15, 10:08*am, Roland Perry wrote:
In message
, at
01:35:13 on Thu, 15 Jan 2009, remarked:

Especially given that passenger numbers at heathrow are dropping
according to this report. The whole thing stinks.


We are in a "bust", so of course short-term passenger numbers are likely
to fall. The new runway is (one possible) solution for the capacity
required in the next "boom". If there's not going to be another "boom",
we don't need a lot of things, including Crossrail.


When you're in a bust you don't start spending billions on vanity
projects. Even in the boom years heathrow could cope with the
passenger numbers so why build a new runway now when they're
dropping?? Its like saying "oh , theres less traffic on the roads -
lets build some bypasses!"

B2003


Roland Perry January 15th 09 09:40 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message
, at
02:23:51 on Thu, 15 Jan 2009, remarked:

Especially given that passenger numbers at heathrow are dropping
according to this report. The whole thing stinks.


We are in a "bust", so of course short-term passenger numbers are likely
to fall. The new runway is (one possible) solution for the capacity
required in the next "boom". If there's not going to be another "boom",
we don't need a lot of things, including Crossrail.


When you're in a bust you don't start spending billions on vanity
projects.


So you'd recommend suspending Crossrail until we are well into the next
boom (and suffering from the fact it doesn't exist yet)?

Even in the boom years heathrow could cope with the
passenger numbers


fsvo "cope".

so why build a new runway now when they're dropping??


because it's predicted to rise, later.

Of course, there might be other solutions, such as closing Heathrow and
running 4tph Eurostar to CDG - but have you modelled the consequences
for the UK economy?

Its like saying "oh , theres less traffic on the roads -
lets build some bypasses!"


The road building programme (such as it is) hasn't been suspended
because of the bust.
--
Roland Perry

Peter Masson January 15th 09 09:48 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 

"Paul Scott" wrote in message
...

"Roland Perry" wrote


They seem to be talking about a new line from Heathrow to St Pancras.

The original HEx plans had a second terminus at St Pancras, via a route
through north London - this new one might be a tunnel. Is it too late to
divert Crossrail slightly, and have one of its stations at St Pancras?

Or
maybe a very long travelator from Farringdon :)


Crossrail is not an 'express' service. Its services are all stations
stoppers
from the airport, which is why it takes over Connect, not HEx. Unless it

is
to have overtaking loops of course...

I'll wait to see the actual proposals before I comment on them. However, a
previous thread suggested that HEx would be likely to lose to Crossrail
passengers who now transfer from HEx to LUL at Paddington, plus others who
transfer to taxis, but will now do so at another Crossrail station. So there
might be a case for diverting HEx (in tunnel, not wandering all round
Cricklewood) to St Pancras. Passengers who needd to travel between heathrow
and Paddington will still be able to use Crossrail.

Peter



Roland Perry January 15th 09 09:54 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message , at 10:48:31 on
Thu, 15 Jan 2009, Peter Masson remarked:
So there might be a case for diverting HEx (in tunnel, not wandering
all round Cricklewood) to St Pancras.


Would this be a new station at St Pancras, or maybe sharing the Kent
domestic platforms, which might be over-specified. On the other hand, if
Thameslink2012 does in fact include through-running from the GN services
on the ECML, there will greater spare capacity at KX.
--
Roland Perry

Peter Masson January 15th 09 10:00 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 

"Roland Perry" wrote in message
...
In message , at 10:48:31 on
Thu, 15 Jan 2009, Peter Masson remarked:
So there might be a case for diverting HEx (in tunnel, not wandering
all round Cricklewood) to St Pancras.


Would this be a new station at St Pancras, or maybe sharing the Kent
domestic platforms, which might be over-specified. On the other hand, if
Thameslink2012 does in fact include through-running from the GN services
on the ECML, there will greater spare capacity at KX.


I envisage an underground terminus, possibly double ended, with one entrance
from the concourse at St Pancras (near the access to the Thameslink
platforms, and another with an entrance from Euston (may need a travelator).

Peter



Roland Perry January 15th 09 10:21 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message , at 11:00:51 on
Thu, 15 Jan 2009, Peter Masson remarked:
So there might be a case for diverting HEx (in tunnel, not wandering
all round Cricklewood) to St Pancras.


Would this be a new station at St Pancras, or maybe sharing the Kent
domestic platforms, which might be over-specified. On the other hand, if
Thameslink2012 does in fact include through-running from the GN services
on the ECML, there will greater spare capacity at KX.


I envisage an underground terminus, possibly double ended, with one entrance
from the concourse at St Pancras (near the access to the Thameslink
platforms, and another with an entrance from Euston (may need a travelator).


What would it be "underneath", there's a lot of existing stuff under StP
and KX, and I'm not sure you'd be able to locate anything under the
British Library.
--
Roland Perry

tim..... January 15th 09 10:42 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 

"Roland Perry" wrote in message
...
In message
, at
01:35:13 on Thu, 15 Jan 2009, remarked:
Especially given that passenger numbers at heathrow are dropping
according to this report. The whole thing stinks.


We are in a "bust", so of course short-term passenger numbers are likely
to fall. The new runway is (one possible) solution for the capacity
required in the next "boom". If there's not going to be another "boom", we
don't need a lot of things, including Crossrail.


But it is quite possible that by the time the next boom comes along, the
attitude to companies for international travel has changed.

It is business travellers that "demand" the benefits of a Heathrow hub. I
would suggest that tourist travellers would much prefer point to point from
their local airport, even if the cost of that is "one flight per week".

tim








[email protected] January 15th 09 10:44 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
On Jan 15, 10:40*am, Roland Perry wrote:
When you're in a bust you don't start spending billions on vanity
projects.


So you'd recommend suspending Crossrail until we are well into the next
boom (and suffering from the fact it doesn't exist yet)?


Crossrail is required because even now the tube is an essential
service (the majority of its passengers are not off on holiday) that
is hopelessly overloaded. Heathrow is far from being essential and
isn't overloaded anyway. As you say , its merely "predicted" to be so
based on some finger in the air guesitmates which are now all null and
void anyway.

so why build a new runway now when they're dropping??


because it's predicted to rise, later.


And we all now how accurate predictions are. Anyone who can predict
what will happen to the world economy in the next decade is either
deluded or a liar.

Of course, there might be other solutions, such as closing Heathrow and
running 4tph Eurostar to CDG - but have you modelled the consequences
for the UK economy?


Wtf are you talking about? The amount of economic activiy provided to
the economy by air travel is minimal. Most goods come and go by ship
and most trading is done electronically. Even most business can be
done using phone or email.

Also economic growth (when it returns) is unsustainable anyway. At
some point it has to stop and building more and more runways isn't the
answer - what happens in 20 years if the new one is overloaded? Build
another on top of hounslow? And another on top of staines when thats
saturated too?

Its like saying "oh , theres less traffic on the roads -
lets build some bypasses!"


The road building programme (such as it is) hasn't been suspended
because of the bust.


You're not good with analogies are you.

B2003



tim..... January 15th 09 10:46 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 

wrote in message
...
On Jan 15, 10:08 am, Roland Perry wrote:
In message
, at
01:35:13 on Thu, 15 Jan 2009, remarked:

Especially given that passenger numbers at heathrow are dropping
according to this report. The whole thing stinks.


We are in a "bust", so of course short-term passenger numbers are likely
to fall. The new runway is (one possible) solution for the capacity
required in the next "boom". If there's not going to be another "boom",
we don't need a lot of things, including Crossrail.


When you're in a bust you don't start spending billions on vanity
projects.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The one (and only) good thing about this decision, is that it isn't a
decision to spend their (aka our) money, but to allow a PLC to spend its
money.

If there is no business case for the plan, the banks wont lend BAA the
funds.

tim




[email protected] January 15th 09 11:05 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
On Jan 15, 11:46*am, "tim....." wrote:
If there is no business case for the plan, the banks wont lend BAA the
funds.


Given who caused the current crisis I think its fair to say that banks
are the last places you'd go to get an accurate prediction of the
future! :o)

B2003


Graeme Wall January 15th 09 11:10 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message
wrote:

On Jan 15, 10:08*am, Roland Perry wrote:
In message
, at
01:35:13 on Thu, 15 Jan 2009, remarked:

Especially given that passenger numbers at heathrow are dropping
according to this report. The whole thing stinks.


We are in a "bust", so of course short-term passenger numbers are likely
to fall. The new runway is (one possible) solution for the capacity
required in the next "boom". If there's not going to be another "boom",
we don't need a lot of things, including Crossrail.


When you're in a bust you don't start spending billions on vanity
projects. Even in the boom years heathrow could cope with the
passenger numbers


The problem is Heathrow couldn't cope with the passenger numbers. Ignoring
the environmental and social problens, now is a good time to invest in major
infrastructure works. Same arguement applies to eg electrification of the
GWML.

Which is not to say I'm in favour of the third runway, I'm not. But I can
see the economic arguements.

--
Graeme Wall
This address is not read, substitute trains for rail.
Transport Miscellany at http://www.greywall.demon.co.uk/rail/index.html

Tony Polson[_2_] January 15th 09 11:18 AM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
EE507 wrote:

The Tories can't decide whether they object to an expansion of airport
capacity on principle, or whether, as Boris says, it's just Heathrow
that is unsuitable. Rather like Labour didn't reverse rail
privatisation when they came to power, I suspect the Tories wouldn't
reverse any decision on Heathrow. Anyway, let's wait for the official
announcement.



The Tories have already stated, unequivocally, that they will cancel any
planned third runway at Heathrow when (if) they get into power.

Boris Toffson's Thames Estuary Airport plan is something of an
embarrassment for the Tory party. He is shaping up to be as much of a
thorn in the Tories' side as Ken Livingstone was in his party's.


Stuart January 15th 09 12:13 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
wrote:

When you're in a bust you don't start spending billions on vanity
projects. Even in the boom years heathrow could cope with the
passenger numbers so why build a new runway now when they're
dropping?? Its like saying "oh , theres less traffic on the roads -
lets build some bypasses!"


Surely it's the best time to build public infrastructure?

Building companies are desperate for work and labour is plentiful,
things can be built cheaper and will be ready for when the demand picks up

Recliner[_2_] January 15th 09 12:29 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
"Tony Polson" wrote in message


Boris Toffson's Thames Estuary Airport plan is something of an
embarrassment for the Tory party. He is shaping up to be as much of a
thorn in the Tories' side as Ken Livingstone was in his party's.


With one key difference: Ken never had ambitions beyond London politics,
but Boris does. This makes him a rival for whoever is leading the Tory
party, whereas Ken never had any leadership ambitions outside London.
But it might also make him more careful (ie, he probably won't do the
rightwing equivalent of Chavez type deals).



EE507[_2_] January 15th 09 12:34 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
On Jan 15, 12:18*pm, Tony Polson wrote:
EE507 wrote:

The Tories can't decide whether they object to an expansion of airport
capacity on principle, or whether, as Boris says, it's just Heathrow
that is unsuitable. Rather like Labour didn't reverse rail
privatisation when they came to power, I suspect the Tories wouldn't
reverse any decision on Heathrow. Anyway, let's wait for the official
announcement.


The Tories have already stated, unequivocally, that they will cancel any
planned third runway at Heathrow when (if) they get into power.


What political parties say in opposition does not in any way reflect
what they do in power. I fully expect the Tories' green gloss to start
flaking as soon as they win the election, and to be a mere memory
within three years.

John Rowland January 15th 09 12:38 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
Peter Masson wrote:
"Roland Perry" wrote in message
...
In message , at 10:48:31 on
Thu, 15 Jan 2009, Peter Masson remarked:
So there might be a case for diverting HEx (in tunnel, not wandering
all round Cricklewood) to St Pancras.


Would this be a new station at St Pancras, or maybe sharing the Kent
domestic platforms, which might be over-specified. On the other
hand, if Thameslink2012 does in fact include through-running from
the GN services on the ECML, there will greater spare capacity at KX.


I envisage an underground terminus, possibly double ended, with one
entrance from the concourse at St Pancras (near the access to the
Thameslink platforms, and another with an entrance from Euston (may
need a travelator).


It makes more sense to extend the Kent domestics from St P to Heathrow, with
a reversal at St P.



[email protected] January 15th 09 12:44 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
On Jan 15, 12:07*pm, Huge wrote:
On Thu, 15 Jan 2009 04:05:11 -0800, boltar2003 wrote:
On Jan 15, 11:46*am, "tim....." wrote:
If there is no business case for the plan, the banks wont lend BAA the
funds.


Given who caused the current crisis


And who do think that is?


The answer was in the rest of the sentence you snipped. The braincell
done a bunk again has it?

B2003


Recliner[_2_] January 15th 09 12:49 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
"EE507" wrote in message

On Jan 15, 12:18 pm, Tony Polson wrote:
EE507 wrote:

The Tories can't decide whether they object to an expansion of
airport capacity on principle, or whether, as Boris says, it's just
Heathrow that is unsuitable. Rather like Labour didn't reverse rail
privatisation when they came to power, I suspect the Tories wouldn't
reverse any decision on Heathrow. Anyway, let's wait for the
official announcement.


The Tories have already stated, unequivocally, that they will cancel
any planned third runway at Heathrow when (if) they get into power.


What political parties say in opposition does not in any way reflect
what they do in power. I fully expect the Tories' green gloss to start
flaking as soon as they win the election, and to be a mere memory
within three years.


Actually, it's fading already, reflecting the change in voters' concerns
(from ecology to the economy).



Recliner[_2_] January 15th 09 12:51 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
"John Rowland" wrote in
message
Peter Masson wrote:
"Roland Perry" wrote in message
...
In message , at 10:48:31 on
Thu, 15 Jan 2009, Peter Masson remarked:
So there might be a case for diverting HEx (in tunnel, not
wandering all round Cricklewood) to St Pancras.

Would this be a new station at St Pancras, or maybe sharing the Kent
domestic platforms, which might be over-specified. On the other
hand, if Thameslink2012 does in fact include through-running from
the GN services on the ECML, there will greater spare capacity at
KX.


I envisage an underground terminus, possibly double ended, with one
entrance from the concourse at St Pancras (near the access to the
Thameslink platforms, and another with an entrance from Euston (may
need a travelator).


It makes more sense to extend the Kent domestics from St P to
Heathrow, with a reversal at St P.


But as I understand it, Heathrow Hub is just the first station on HS2,
en-route to the midlands or the west, not a terminus. I doubt that the
current St P has enough domestic platforms (on either side) to be the
London Terminus for the high speed link to the north. Also, are they
long enough?



John Rowland January 15th 09 12:52 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
wrote:

When you're in a bust you don't start spending billions on vanity
projects. Even in the boom years heathrow could cope with the
passenger numbers so why build a new runway now when they're
dropping?? Its like saying "oh , theres less traffic on the roads -
lets build some bypasses!"


On the contrary: building things requires labour, which can be got more
cheaply in a bust, and employing people helps mitigate the bust.
Furthermore, building things disrupts journeys, and disrupts fewer journeys
in a bust. So busts are the right time to build infrastructure, using the
money that the government saved up during the boom.... except they didn't
save any.



[email protected] January 15th 09 01:07 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
On Jan 15, 1:52*pm, "John Rowland"
wrote:
On the contrary: building things requires labour, which can be got more
cheaply in a bust,


Not if some of the cheap labour does a runner to another country. I
have no figures at hand but I wouldn't be surprised if theres a slow
leakage of poles and other east europeans from the UK right now
especially given the current exchange rate of the pound.

B2003



Mizter T January 15th 09 02:05 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 

On 15 Jan, 14:07, wrote:

On Jan 15, 1:52*pm, "John Rowland"
wrote:
On the contrary: building things requires labour, which can be got more
cheaply in a bust,


Not if some of the cheap labour does a runner to another country. I
have no figures at hand but I wouldn't be surprised if theres a slow
leakage of poles and other east europeans from the UK right now
especially given the current exchange rate of the pound.


No leakages with Poles, they're great plumbers.

Being serious - yes, many Poles have been heading back to Poland which
at least until recently was beginning to boom, not quite sure how
they're holding up at the moment. It's not so much exchange rates,
though that's a factor, more about jobs - there were lots of jobs
coming on stream in Poland, and fewer in the UK. Of course now in the
UK jobs are rapidly becoming scarcer.

(I think the trend is - or at least was - mirrored with other eastern
Europeans, though in a rather less pronounced way than with Poles and
Poland.)

Mizter T January 15th 09 02:10 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 

On 15 Jan, 12:18, Tony Polson wrote:

EE507 wrote:

The Tories can't decide whether they object to an expansion of airport
capacity on principle, or whether, as Boris says, it's just Heathrow
that is unsuitable. Rather like Labour didn't reverse rail
privatisation when they came to power, I suspect the Tories wouldn't
reverse any decision on Heathrow. Anyway, let's wait for the official
announcement.


The Tories have already stated, unequivocally, that they will cancel any
planned third runway at Heathrow when (if) they get into power.

Boris Toffson's Thames Estuary Airport plan is something of an
embarrassment for the Tory party. *He is shaping up to be as much of a
thorn in the Tories' side as Ken Livingstone was in his party's.


I disagree with the simple picture you paint in your final comment. I
think the truth is somewhat more complex - Boris is neither a puppet
of the Conservative Central Office and leadership, but nor is he
anything quite like the renegade that Ken was (or at least was capable
of being). Recliner's point (in his separate reply to your post) about
him having ambitions beyond London should also be borne in mind.

Mizter T January 15th 09 02:22 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 

On 15 Jan, 13:29, "Recliner" wrote:

"Tony Polson" wrote:

Boris Toffson's Thames Estuary Airport plan is something of an
embarrassment for the Tory party. *He is shaping up to be as much of a
thorn in the Tories' side as Ken Livingstone was in his party's.


With one key difference: Ken never had ambitions beyond London politics,
but Boris does. This makes him a rival for whoever is leading the Tory
party, whereas Ken never had any leadership ambitions outside London.
But it might also make him more careful (ie, he probably won't do the
rightwing equivalent of Chavez type deals).


You'll note in my separate reply to Tony's post that I don't quite
agree with his simplistic analysis of Boris, but anyway regarding your
points...

I think Ken did once have ambitions beyond London, but they had gone
by the time he was elected Mayor in 2000.

Your point about Boris and his ambitions is true in my mind. I think
that at least some of his actions in London need to be viewed through
the national lens before they can be fully comprehended, as for at
least some of the time he is playing over the heads of the Londoners
in the stalls to the national audience in the grand circle (and
occasionally throwing a line or two in the direction of the opulent
box dwellers).

Roland Perry January 15th 09 02:28 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message , at 13:51:50 on
Thu, 15 Jan 2009, Recliner remarked:
I doubt that the current St P has enough domestic platforms (on either
side) to be the London Terminus for the high speed link to the north.
Also, are they long enough?


Not enough of them, and they are approx 10 carriages long - is that
sufficient?
--
Roland Perry

Roland Perry January 15th 09 02:32 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message , at 13:13:33 on Thu, 15
Jan 2009, Stuart remarked:
When you're in a bust you don't start spending billions on vanity
projects. Even in the boom years heathrow could cope with the
passenger numbers so why build a new runway now when they're
dropping?? Its like saying "oh , theres less traffic on the roads -
lets build some bypasses!"


Surely it's the best time to build public infrastructure?

Building companies are desperate for work and labour is plentiful,
things can be built cheaper and will be ready for when the demand picks


And Hoon has just announced more road building, exactly to this economic
model.
--
Roland Perry

Roland Perry January 15th 09 02:37 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message , at 11:42:26 on Thu, 15
Jan 2009, tim..... remarked:
Especially given that passenger numbers at heathrow are dropping
according to this report. The whole thing stinks.


We are in a "bust", so of course short-term passenger numbers are likely
to fall. The new runway is (one possible) solution for the capacity
required in the next "boom". If there's not going to be another "boom", we
don't need a lot of things, including Crossrail.


But it is quite possible that by the time the next boom comes along, the
attitude to companies for international travel has changed.


I've seen no discernible change in the 25 years I've been flying "on
business", apart from a few glitches caused by terrorist incidents and
nervous Americans, not cashflow.

It is business travellers that "demand" the benefits of a Heathrow hub. I
would suggest that tourist travellers would much prefer point to point from
their local airport, even if the cost of that is "one flight per week".


That's where much of the expansion is coming from, and I agree that
people should not expect the tourist sector to be a growth generator at
Heathrow. But Heathrow has spurned charter flights for a generation, and
has very few "low cost" airlines operating from there.
--
Roland Perry

Roland Perry January 15th 09 02:45 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
In message
, at
03:44:34 on Thu, 15 Jan 2009, remarked:

When you're in a bust you don't start spending billions on vanity
projects.


So you'd recommend suspending Crossrail until we are well into the next
boom (and suffering from the fact it doesn't exist yet)?


Crossrail is required because even now the tube is an essential
service (the majority of its passengers are not off on holiday) that
is hopelessly overloaded.


You may not have noticed the number of layoffs in banking and retail,
and the reduction of consumer spending (shops in Oxford St need
customers as well as staff).

Heathrow is far from being essential and isn't overloaded anyway.


It's severely overloaded, and "essential" for UK plc's international
business ambitions.

As you say , its merely "predicted" to be so based on some finger in
the air guesitmates which are now all null and void anyway.


You can predict a sine-wave of boom and bust fairly easily (it may not
come true) just as much as you can "predict" an ongoing need for
crossrail.

The amount of economic activity provided to the economy by air travel
is minimal... Even most business can be done using phone or email.


From these remarks I can see you are completely out of touch with
reality. Although large volumes of "grunt trading" can be done
hands-off, you can generally only set up the initial relationships in
person.

Also economic growth (when it returns) is unsustainable anyway. At
some point it has to stop and building more and more runways isn't the
answer - what happens in 20 years if the new one is overloaded? Build
another on top of hounslow? And another on top of staines when thats
saturated too?


Once upon a time the answer was a third airport - which ended up at
Stansted. You may have noticed that Stansted has expansion plans too.

Its like saying "oh , theres less traffic on the roads -
lets build some bypasses!"


The road building programme (such as it is) hasn't been suspended
because of the bust.


You're not good with analogies are you.


Hoon has just announced more roadbuilding.
--
Roland Perry

Andrew Heenan January 15th 09 03:09 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
"Mizter T" wrote
I think Ken did once have ambitions beyond London, but
they had gone by the time he was elected Mayor in 2000.


Exactly right. After Mrs Thatcher scrapped the GLC, Ken stated that only the
house of Commons could really achieve anything; however, after a couple of
years as a back bench MP, isolated even within Kinnock's Old Labour, he soon
realised that there was no 'guaranteed' way of achieving his ends, then he
turned his attention back to more local aims.

Boris is 'old tory' just as much as Ken is 'old labour'; he is loyal to
those who voted for him, and has his own agenda. I suspect his differences
with the National Tories are smaller than a few news stories might suggest,
and when/if Lord Snooty gets elected, he'll work much more closely with
them.

At the moment, he has power, they don't - and he's not going to waste
opportunities, simply to please Her Majesty's Official Opposition.

However much of a Tory Boris is, he ain't stupid, and he recognises that
London needs those awful socialist ideas like public transport. One reason
why Lord Snooty has to keep saying that many of Boris' plans are 'local
issues' up for local decisions (eg anything remotely connected to congestion
charging).

London will always be a 'special case', and it's no surprise that Boris'
policies differ from Ken's only in superficial ways. So far, at least.

Boris' re-election manifesto will be a joy to behold ;o)
--

Andrew

Interviewer: Tonight I'm interviewing that famous nurse, Florence
Nightingale
Tommy Cooper (dressed as a nurse): Sir Florence Nightingale
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Peter Masson January 15th 09 03:29 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 

"Roland Perry" wrote in message
...
In message , at 11:00:51 on
Thu, 15 Jan 2009, Peter Masson remarked:

I envisage an underground terminus, possibly double ended, with one

entrance
from the concourse at St Pancras (near the access to the Thameslink
platforms, and another with an entrance from Euston (may need a

travelator).

What would it be "underneath", there's a lot of existing stuff under StP
and KX, and I'm not sure you'd be able to locate anything under the
British Library.


Put it under Phoenix Road/Brill place, behind the British Library, so at
right angles to the Thameslink platforms.

The suggestion of reversing the Kent domestics at St P, and extending them
to Heathrow, has some attractions, but the rolling stock you need is not
really compatible (Kent domestics a lot of seats for commuters; HEx plenty
of luggage space, and a high quality first class section. Also, the St
Pancras throat is now very congested with tracks going in all directions,
and I'm not sure how an exit that has to turn west will work.

I really can't see how a HSL from St Pancras, or more likely Euston as
that's the only obvious space for the terminus, via Heathrow, will work. It
would have to be in tunnel at least pretty well all the way to Heathrow, and
with a stop there is only going to be marginally quicker to the West
Midlands than going at 125 mph down the WCML. The Greengauge proposals (head
out of London via Northolt Junction, and follow the general alignment of the
Chiltern Line/M40, serving Heathrow with a branch, joining the main HSL in
the vicinity of Denham) seem to me to be more rational.

Peter



Recliner[_2_] January 15th 09 03:31 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
"Mizter T" wrote in message

On 15 Jan, 13:29, "Recliner" wrote:

"Tony Polson" wrote:

Boris Toffson's Thames Estuary Airport plan is something of an
embarrassment for the Tory party. He is shaping up to be as much of
a thorn in the Tories' side as Ken Livingstone was in his party's.


With one key difference: Ken never had ambitions beyond London
politics, but Boris does. This makes him a rival for whoever is
leading the Tory party, whereas Ken never had any leadership
ambitions outside London. But it might also make him more careful
(ie, he probably won't do the rightwing equivalent of Chavez type
deals).


You'll note in my separate reply to Tony's post that I don't quite
agree with his simplistic analysis of Boris, but anyway regarding your
points...

I think Ken did once have ambitions beyond London, but they had gone
by the time he was elected Mayor in 2000.


Obviously it's hard to say for sure, but I don't think Ken ever showed
much interest in anything other than ruling London. He executed a coup
to get the top GLC job, and hung on to it tenaciously thereafter.

He only became an MP when he was forcibly evicted from the GLC by
Maggie, and then didn't do any of things he'd need to do to start
climbing the ministerial ladder. As soon as there was the chance to
become mayor of London, he leapt at it, making very clear that he was
going to stand and do his damnedest to win, regardless of what the
Labour party thought or did to him.

All very different to Boris, who'd never shown much previous interest in
London politics, and who had to be persuaded to stand. And only well
into the campaign did he show much interest in winning.

Your point about Boris and his ambitions is true in my mind. I think
that at least some of his actions in London need to be viewed through
the national lens before they can be fully comprehended, as for at
least some of the time he is playing over the heads of the Londoners
in the stalls to the national audience in the grand circle (and
occasionally throwing a line or two in the direction of the opulent
box dwellers).


Agreed. he's also made clear that he has no intention of doing the
mayor's job for more than eight years, and as he's too young to retire
in seven years time, one has to assume he has other ambitions (beyond
some lucrative non-execs).



Recliner[_2_] January 15th 09 03:34 PM

Heathrow third runway to get the go ahead
 
"Roland Perry" wrote in message

In message , at 13:51:50 on
Thu, 15 Jan 2009, Recliner remarked:
I doubt that the current St P has enough domestic platforms (on
either side) to be the London Terminus for the high speed link to
the north. Also, are they long enough?


Not enough of them, and they are approx 10 carriages long - is that
sufficient?


I would have thought new high speed trains would be longer than that
(even the Pendos will soon be 11 cars long).




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