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David Chorley wrote:
Matthew Wild wrote in message ... David Chorley wrote: The only interest a politician will have in climate change will be how to extract more money from the taxpayer and extend control over the individual. This, incidentally, is why "global warming through increased levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere" was thought up as it is hogwash as basic science and undisproveable, as it is unproveable. David Your evidence for this exactly? Matthew 1. basic science: the ability of the CO2 molecule to absorb and re-radiate energy is based on its dipole moment. CO2 is a linear molecule with, at best a temporarily induced dipole moment, unlike water, which with its unshared pair of electrons has a huge dipole moment and is a very effective greenhouse gas. Witness the change in temperature on a cloudy night, when the clouds clear and energy is not re-radiated back to the ground. A change in the concentration of carbon dioxide would have to be huge to perform this degree of effect. The change in concentration has been huge. IIRC, the levels of CO2 in the atmosphere now are higher than they were when the dinosaurs were around. 2. Paeleontology. The records of prehistoric London show a savannah-like climate with species much more like East Africa as recently as 10000 years ago, not so long ago that continental drift would have much of an effect ( 1000years/metre) Not quite sure what this is meant to prove. 3. The data set is too small: a sample of 200 years, notwithstanding inferences made from ice cores, is just too small to make predictions. The correlations of data from ice cores are pretty good and provide a good idea of the changes over thousands of years. 4 the hypothesis makes no accounting for changes in solar radiation and sunspot activity. This is absolutely wrong. Work, we and others, have done, shows that changes in solar radiation would account for less than 50% of the change in global climate change. Also, climate change has been accelerating over the last 50-60 years. The sun hasn't been changing that much on such a timescale and the link between sunspots and climate is incredibly tenuous. HTH David Oklahoma, USA has undergone its coolest summer since records began... therefore we are subject to global cooling. And due to global warming, the UK will get generally warmer, but also a lot wetter and more changeable to the extremes. As the globe warms, it will different effects in different locations as the prevailing weather patterns change. Matthew -- Matthew Wild Tel.: +44 (0)1235 445173 URL http://www.wdc.rl.ac.uk/ World Data Centre - Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Chilton Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Chilton, Didcot, Oxon, OX11 0QX |
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