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-   -   These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time. (https://www.londonbanter.co.uk/london-transport/8761-these-writhing-whales-road-have.html)

Tom Anderson August 2nd 09 01:17 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear
 
On Sun, 2 Aug 2009, wrote:

In article
,
(MIG) wrote:

On 1 Aug, 20:20, Tom Anderson wrote:
On Fri, 31 Jul 2009, MIG wrote:
On 31 July, 19:51, "Recliner" wrote:
"MIG" wrote in message



On 29 July, 15:09, Tom Anderson wrote:
On Tue, 28 Jul 2009, MIG wrote:
On 28 July, 17:16, Tom Anderson wrote:
On Tue, 28 Jul 2009, James Farrar wrote:

The concept of a Mayor is undemocratic and intended to allow
unelected political party officials to override the views of
elected council members (and those they represent) while hiding
behind the figurehead of the Mayor.

When you say 'the concept of a mayor', do you mean 'the
implementation of a mayor as it is in London?'. If so, would you
agree that the implementation could be improved, and if not,
could you explain why you think a mayor is different to a
president?

Well, I'm not particularly bothered about what it's called, which
is why I used a capital M to refer to the specific implementation.

I just generally object to representative democracy (which ain't
perfect) being cynically overruled by setting up a system where a
single elected person who can also claim a mandate and hand total
control to his/her own party.

It would be better if there were a council a bit like the GLA but
with real decision-making powers ... you could call it the GLC.

Would that prevent the sort of palace coup that allowed an
ambitious young politician to mount a successful coup against an
elected GLC leader like Andrew Macintosh?-

Wot, by getting elected and winning votes?

What, like how Gordon Brown became Prime Minister?

Both the Westminster and Washington systems of choosing a leader have
their strengths and weaknesses, but it's simply nonsense to say that
an elected mayoralty is an antidemocratic.


The imposition of such systems on local authorities has the intention
of imposing central rule via a single figurehead, disregarding the
wide range of views represented by many tens of councillors (or GLA
members). The chances of effective democracy are slim regardless.

A directly-elected president who did not have to refer to Parliament
would not be a Good Thing. Within their respective scopes, I don't
think that the the US President has as much power as the London Mayor.


The single strongest bit of evidence against UK mayors being properly
democratic is that their major policies and budgets are adopted *unless*
two-thirds of the Council or London Assembly vote against them. So just
over one third of the body supporting the Mayor is all he needs to rule as
they wish.


Well, that and being elected by a majority of the electorate in the first
place.

tom

--
Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by
stupidity -- Hanlon's Razor

Bruce[_2_] August 2nd 09 01:24 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 13:59:29 +0100, "Just zis Guy, you know?"
wrote:
On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 13:40:48 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

I find it sad and ironic that people seem to think that the way to
"fix" a government which has become arrogant and corrupt is to vote
instead for the party they kicked out a dozen years earlier for being
arrogant and corrupt.


Agreed. But it is the only option available under the current system.


Only the two parties standing in your constituency, then?



In these days of tactical voting, if people are unhappy with the
ruling party, they vote to unseat the incumbent if he/she is a member
of the ruling party.

So there are basically two options; vote for the incumbent or vote for
whoever has the best chance of beating them.


Just zis Guy, you know? August 2nd 09 01:46 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 14:24:08 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

So there are basically two options; vote for the incumbent or vote for
whoever has the best chance of beating them.


Which is, of course, why the two alternating bunches of venal *******s
invest so much time and effort in assuring you that the two
alternating bunches of venal *******s are your only choices.

Guy
--
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

Neil Williams August 2nd 09 02:57 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 14:46:32 +0100, "Just zis Guy, you know?"
wrote:

Which is, of course, why the two alternating bunches of venal *******s
invest so much time and effort in assuring you that the two
alternating bunches of venal *******s are your only choices.


And is in itself both an excellent argument in favour of proportional
representation, and the precise reason why neither party will ever
bring it in.

Neil

--
Neil Williams
Put my first name before the at to reply.

[email protected] August 2nd 09 05:43 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
In article ,
(Neil Williams) wrote:

On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 14:46:32 +0100, "Just zis Guy, you know?"
wrote:

Which is, of course, why the two alternating bunches of venal *******s
invest so much time and effort in assuring you that the two
alternating bunches of venal *******s are your only choices.


And is in itself both an excellent argument in favour of proportional
representation, and the precise reason why neither party will ever
bring it in.


Unless they are forced to. I just wish the public pressure from the
expenses scandal would lead to this. It could still happen, especially if
the "it'll all go away over the summer" hopes of leading politicians turns
out to be wrong.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

Bruce[_2_] August 2nd 09 08:38 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 14:46:32 +0100, "Just zis Guy, you know?"
wrote:

On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 14:24:08 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

So there are basically two options; vote for the incumbent or vote for
whoever has the best chance of beating them.


Which is, of course, why the two alternating bunches of venal *******s
invest so much time and effort in assuring you that the two
alternating bunches of venal *******s are your only choices.



Of course. A vote for a party that can never hope to form a
government is of course "a wasted vote".


[email protected] August 2nd 09 08:52 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
In article ,
(Bruce) wrote:

On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 14:46:32 +0100, "Just zis Guy, you know?"
wrote:

On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 14:24:08 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

So there are basically two options; vote for the incumbent or vote for
whoever has the best chance of beating them.


Which is, of course, why the two alternating bunches of venal *******s
invest so much time and effort in assuring you that the two
alternating bunches of venal *******s are your only choices.



Of course. A vote for a party that can never hope to form a
government is of course "a wasted vote".


The evidence is against you there these days. The number of MPs not from
the two largest parties has been rising throughout my lifetime and their
influence is far from trivial these days.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

Just zis Guy, you know? August 2nd 09 10:03 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 21:38:25 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

Of course. A vote for a party that can never hope to form a
government is of course "a wasted vote".


See, when I rule the world the rules will be as follows: single
transferrable vote, and nobody elected who polls less than 50% of the
eligible electorate after transfers.

And of course if they introduce that, most MPs would be out of a job.
And the best thing for them.

I'll wait until they have picked themselves up off the floor before
outlining the rest of it: anyone with a degree in politics or similar
is disqualified, minimum age for candidacy is 40, 2 term limit in any
cabinet position and you must have worked for at least five of the
previous ten years in a job not immediately connected with politics.

Guy
--
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

[email protected] August 2nd 09 10:15 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
In article ,
(Just zis Guy, you know?) wrote:

On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 21:38:25 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

Of course. A vote for a party that can never hope to form a
government is of course "a wasted vote".


See, when I rule the world the rules will be as follows: single
transferrable vote, and nobody elected who polls less than 50% of the
eligible electorate after transfers.


That's hardly compatible with STV with multi-member constituencies and
quota counting, the standard British form of PR. Almost no-one will then
poll over 50% of the electorate personally.

And of course if they introduce that, most MPs would be out of a job.
And the best thing for them.


Indeed. But I want some of the advantages, like reduced power of the
parties to coerce MPs to do what the people the represent don't.

I'll wait until they have picked themselves up off the floor before
outlining the rest of it: anyone with a degree in politics or similar
is disqualified, minimum age for candidacy is 40, 2 term limit in any
cabinet position and you must have worked for at least five of the
previous ten years in a job not immediately connected with politics.


Yes, that would be good, but then the first problem is to stop the "no
external jobs" idea. Ministers have two jobs already of course.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

Bruce[_2_] August 2nd 09 11:02 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 23:03:05 +0100, "Just zis Guy, you know?"
wrote:

On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 21:38:25 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

Of course. A vote for a party that can never hope to form a
government is of course "a wasted vote".


See, when I rule the world the rules will be as follows: single
transferrable vote, and nobody elected who polls less than 50% of the
eligible electorate after transfers.



The 50% requirement means you are talking about the Alternative Vote
system which is being actively considered by "New" Labour.

The problem with it is that, on a national basis, it would produce
results that are even further removed from true proportional
representation than the current system.


asdf August 3rd 09 01:46 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
On Sun, 02 Aug 2009 12:43:06 -0500,
wrote:

Which is, of course, why the two alternating bunches of venal *******s
invest so much time and effort in assuring you that the two
alternating bunches of venal *******s are your only choices.


And is in itself both an excellent argument in favour of proportional
representation, and the precise reason why neither party will ever
bring it in.


Unless they are forced to. I just wish the public pressure from the
expenses scandal would lead to this. It could still happen, especially if
the "it'll all go away over the summer" hopes of leading politicians turns
out to be wrong.


How could they be forced to? It's a chicken and egg situation; under
the current system, the only pratical way the public can "force"
Labour to do anything is to (threaten to) elect the Tories, and vice
versa, and neither party will introduce PR or STV.

Whilst a large Lib Dem opinion poll lead might do the trick, enough of
the electorate is firmly stuck in a 2-party (or 1-party) mindset for
this to remain pure fantasy.

Basil Jet August 3rd 09 02:01 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
asdf wrote:

How could they be forced to? It's a chicken and egg situation; under
the current system, the only pratical way the public can "force"
Labour to do anything is to (threaten to) elect the Tories, and vice
versa, and neither party will introduce PR or STV.

Whilst a large Lib Dem opinion poll lead might do the trick, enough of
the electorate is firmly stuck in a 2-party (or 1-party) mindset for
this to remain pure fantasy.


Labour is considering holding a referendum on switching to Alternative Vote
on election day.



Just zis Guy, you know? August 3rd 09 05:44 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Mon, 03 Aug 2009 00:02:43 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

The 50% requirement means you are talking about the Alternative Vote
system which is being actively considered by "New" Labour.
The problem with it is that, on a national basis, it would produce
results that are even further removed from true proportional
representation than the current system.


Single transferable vote, actually. Which would be fine, I think, as
long as it was made clear to people that they did not have to put a
number against every candidate. Five candidates, express your first
and second preference and after that "none of the above".

Guy
--
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

[email protected] August 3rd 09 08:44 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
In article ,
(Basil Jet) wrote:

asdf wrote:

How could they be forced to? It's a chicken and egg situation; under
the current system, the only pratical way the public can "force"
Labour to do anything is to (threaten to) elect the Tories, and vice
versa, and neither party will introduce PR or STV.

Whilst a large Lib Dem opinion poll lead might do the trick, enough of
the electorate is firmly stuck in a 2-party (or 1-party) mindset for
this to remain pure fantasy.


Labour is considering holding a referendum on switching to
Alternative Vote on election day.


Alternative vote will not mean that voters' votes will be reflected
overall in who is elected. It will probably distort that pattern even more
than FPTP does, as it seems to in Australia.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

[email protected] August 3rd 09 08:44 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
In article ,
(Just zis Guy, you know?) wrote:

On Mon, 03 Aug 2009 00:02:43 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

The 50% requirement means you are talking about the Alternative Vote
system which is being actively considered by "New" Labour.
The problem with it is that, on a national basis, it would produce
results that are even further removed from true proportional
representation than the current system.


Single transferable vote, actually. Which would be fine, I think, as
long as it was made clear to people that they did not have to put a
number against every candidate. Five candidates, express your first
and second preference and after that "none of the above".


The Scots seem to have worked that out easily enough in 2007.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

Bruce[_2_] August 3rd 09 10:42 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Mon, 03 Aug 2009 06:44:37 +0100, "Just zis Guy, you know?"
wrote:
On Mon, 03 Aug 2009 00:02:43 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

The 50% requirement means you are talking about the Alternative Vote
system which is being actively considered by "New" Labour.
The problem with it is that, on a national basis, it would produce
results that are even further removed from true proportional
representation than the current system.


Single transferable vote, actually. Which would be fine, I think, as
long as it was made clear to people that they did not have to put a
number against every candidate. Five candidates, express your first
and second preference and after that "none of the above".



I think you have pretty well described New Labour's Alternative Vote
system, which is likely to be more unfair than the current system.

The trouble is that none of the current political parties can be
trusted to come up with a fair system. Their grip on power is only
possible because of unfairness.

Didn't Tony Blair commission a report on electoral reform from Lord
(Roy) Jenkins, then bin it because he didn't like the recommendations?


Bruce[_2_] August 3rd 09 10:45 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
On Mon, 3 Aug 2009 03:01:23 +0100, "Basil Jet"
wrote:

asdf wrote:

How could they be forced to? It's a chicken and egg situation; under
the current system, the only pratical way the public can "force"
Labour to do anything is to (threaten to) elect the Tories, and vice
versa, and neither party will introduce PR or STV.

Whilst a large Lib Dem opinion poll lead might do the trick, enough of
the electorate is firmly stuck in a 2-party (or 1-party) mindset for
this to remain pure fantasy.


Labour is considering holding a referendum on switching to Alternative Vote
on election day.



But Alternative Vote is even more unfair than the present system, as
it would deliver even larger majorities in Parliament on an even
smaller proportion of the total votes cast than now.

That cannot be right.

Labour is only considering thr referendum in order to paint the Tories
as being opposed to any change. But *everyone* should oppose
Alternative Vote - it would be a very bad system for the UK.



[email protected] August 3rd 09 11:11 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
In article ,
(Bruce) wrote:

On Mon, 03 Aug 2009 06:44:37 +0100, "Just zis Guy, you know?"
wrote:
On Mon, 03 Aug 2009 00:02:43 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

The 50% requirement means you are talking about the Alternative Vote
system which is being actively considered by "New" Labour.
The problem with it is that, on a national basis, it would produce
results that are even further removed from true proportional
representation than the current system.


Single transferable vote, actually. Which would be fine, I think, as
long as it was made clear to people that they did not have to put a
number against every candidate. Five candidates, express your first
and second preference and after that "none of the above".


I think you have pretty well described New Labour's Alternative Vote
system, which is likely to be more unfair than the current system.

The trouble is that none of the current political parties can be
trusted to come up with a fair system. Their grip on power is only
possible because of unfairness.

Didn't Tony Blair commission a report on electoral reform from Lord
(Roy) Jenkins, then bin it because he didn't like the
recommendations?

The British Government has applied PR systems to other countries, for
example STV to Ireland and Malta. They still have the system so can't have
been that bad a choice. Indeed, its success in the Irish Republic forced
the British Government to restore STV to Northern Ireland in 1973.

STV's greatest strength is that it is party-blind. You don't need parties
to get fair representation but if you have them they get the share the
voters give them and no more.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

Dave Larrington August 3rd 09 11:20 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
In ,
tweaked the Babbage-Engine
to tell us:

Tell me , are british commuter cyclists just particularly incompetant
and/or stupid compared to european ones who've been living with bendy
buses
for years or are you all - what most people suspect is the case -
nothing but a bunch of tedious whingers?


Tell me, do the drivers of bendy-buses in other European cities complete
their overtaking manouevres before pulling in again, or do they just wait
for the front two-thirds of the vehicle to pass the cyclist before forcing
them into the kerb?

--
Dave Larrington
http://www.legslarry.beerdrinkers.co.uk
There's a village in Texas that's missing its idiot.



Tim Roll-Pickering August 3rd 09 11:22 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
Bruce wrote:

I think you have pretty well described New Labour's Alternative Vote
system, which is likely to be more unfair than the current system.


The trouble is that none of the current political parties can be
trusted to come up with a fair system. Their grip on power is only
possible because of unfairness.


Although most of the time the public seem happy that way. And not just in
the UK - voters in British Columbia have recently rejected a proposed move
from First Past The Post to mult-member STV, despite it being chosen by a
"citizen's jury" and some recent election results that would be a godsend
for British PR advocates.

Didn't Tony Blair commission a report on electoral reform from Lord
(Roy) Jenkins, then bin it because he didn't like the recommendations?


Yes but it would be wrong to blame just Blair for this. Enthusiasm for PR in
the Labour Party dried up a lot after the 1997 election (much as it did in
the Conservatives after 1979) and the Jenkins Commission + referendum was
rapidly regarded as an unfortunate inclusion in the manifesto to throw a
bone to Liberal Democrat voters.

Furthermore the system that the Commission proposed was "Alternative Vote
Plus", a ghastly hybrid Additional Member System that would involve:

* Most MPs elected in constituencies but on the Alternative Vote

* Lots of small regions with a handful of MPs elected on a top-up.

It tried to meet all the requirements but calculations suggests it doesn't
really:

* You can still get governments elected on a minority of the votes cast if
their support is sufficiently concentrated to sweep up the seats

* The small number of top-up seats mean they would largely serve to help the
second and third parties (and fourth in Wales and Scotland) make up a seat
deficit rather than providing representation for other parties (this effect
can be seen in the Welsh Assembly).

* There would be two kinds of MP - constituency and list - in a single
chamber which is frequently a recipe for rivalry and chaos. (A big complaint
in the Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly is about list MSPs/AMs
presenting themselves as the "local" representative, especially if they go
on to contest that constituency at the next election. A law was passed to
stop candidates standing in both constituencies and lists in Wales but it
still happens in Scotland and London.)

* All Additional Member Systems with multiple ballot papers can give some
voters more voting power than others (vote for one successful party for the
constituency and another for the list) and the likeliehood of overhangs (a
party gets more constituency seats than its list vote entitles it to)
magnifies this.

* Parties can also game the system by running separately on the
constituencies and lists (an Italian tactic called "decoy lists").

* "Safe seats" would still exist in constituencies and those politicians at
the head of their local list would be guaranteed election.

* A big name could lose their constituency but still be in the parliament -
this happen in Germany with Helmut Kohl in 1998.

As you can guess this system doesn't fill PR campaigners with a great deal
of enthusiasm and there are splits over any prospective referendum between
those who think any "PR" is better than the present system and those who
think adopting this particular system will not solve the cited problems and
make a preferred system *less* likely.



Bruce[_2_] August 3rd 09 11:49 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Mon, 3 Aug 2009 12:22:42 +0100, "Tim Roll-Pickering"
wrote:
Bruce wrote:

I think you have pretty well described New Labour's Alternative Vote
system, which is likely to be more unfair than the current system.


The trouble is that none of the current political parties can be
trusted to come up with a fair system. Their grip on power is only
possible because of unfairness.


Although most of the time the public seem happy that way. And not just in
the UK - voters in British Columbia have recently rejected a proposed move
from First Past The Post to mult-member STV, despite it being chosen by a
"citizen's jury" and some recent election results that would be a godsend
for British PR advocates.

Didn't Tony Blair commission a report on electoral reform from Lord
(Roy) Jenkins, then bin it because he didn't like the recommendations?


Yes but it would be wrong to blame just Blair for this. Enthusiasm for PR in
the Labour Party dried up a lot after the 1997 election (much as it did in
the Conservatives after 1979) and the Jenkins Commission + referendum was
rapidly regarded as an unfortunate inclusion in the manifesto to throw a
bone to Liberal Democrat voters.

Furthermore the system that the Commission proposed was "Alternative Vote
Plus", a ghastly hybrid Additional Member System that would involve:

* Most MPs elected in constituencies but on the Alternative Vote

* Lots of small regions with a handful of MPs elected on a top-up.

It tried to meet all the requirements but calculations suggests it doesn't
really:

* You can still get governments elected on a minority of the votes cast if
their support is sufficiently concentrated to sweep up the seats

* The small number of top-up seats mean they would largely serve to help the
second and third parties (and fourth in Wales and Scotland) make up a seat
deficit rather than providing representation for other parties (this effect
can be seen in the Welsh Assembly).

* There would be two kinds of MP - constituency and list - in a single
chamber which is frequently a recipe for rivalry and chaos. (A big complaint
in the Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly is about list MSPs/AMs
presenting themselves as the "local" representative, especially if they go
on to contest that constituency at the next election. A law was passed to
stop candidates standing in both constituencies and lists in Wales but it
still happens in Scotland and London.)

* All Additional Member Systems with multiple ballot papers can give some
voters more voting power than others (vote for one successful party for the
constituency and another for the list) and the likeliehood of overhangs (a
party gets more constituency seats than its list vote entitles it to)
magnifies this.

* Parties can also game the system by running separately on the
constituencies and lists (an Italian tactic called "decoy lists").

* "Safe seats" would still exist in constituencies and those politicians at
the head of their local list would be guaranteed election.

* A big name could lose their constituency but still be in the parliament -
this happen in Germany with Helmut Kohl in 1998.

As you can guess this system doesn't fill PR campaigners with a great deal
of enthusiasm and there are splits over any prospective referendum between
those who think any "PR" is better than the present system and those who
think adopting this particular system will not solve the cited problems and
make a preferred system *less* likely.



The trouble is we in Britain always have to invent something of our
own. What we should be doing is looking at the most successful
comparable democracies (for some values of comparable and democracy)
and selecting which successful system would be most approproate for
the UK.

A Royal Commission would be needed to do this. Unfortunately,
Jenkins and his committee were appointed by the New Labour government.
His commission therefore lacked the necessary independence, and his
chairmanship brought with it Jenkins' legebdary lack of clarity of
thought. Never use ten words where a hundred will do, and never
overlook the opaque and complex "solutions" for something that is
clear, simple and works!


Pob August 3rd 09 05:10 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 

"Dave Larrington" wrote in message
...
In ,
tweaked the Babbage-Engine
to tell us:

Tell me , are british commuter cyclists just particularly incompetant
and/or stupid compared to european ones who've been living with bendy
buses
for years or are you all - what most people suspect is the case -
nothing but a bunch of tedious whingers?


Tell me, do the drivers of bendy-buses in other European cities complete
their overtaking manouevres before pulling in again, or do they just wait
for the front two-thirds of the vehicle to pass the cyclist before forcing
them into the kerb?


I think the words "of bendy buses" are redundant in your post.

And yes.

All the best,

pOB



Just zis Guy, you know? August 3rd 09 06:39 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Mon, 03 Aug 2009 12:49:34 +0100, Bruce
wrote:

A Royal Commission would be needed to do this.


I know you're right, but it does sound ironic, doesn't it? The
solution to democratic deficit is to have a Royal commission... what
could possibly go wrong? ;-)

Guy
--
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

[email protected] August 3rd 09 09:01 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
In article ,
(Bruce) wrote:

On Mon, 3 Aug 2009 12:22:42 +0100, "Tim Roll-Pickering"
wrote:
Bruce wrote:

I think you have pretty well described New Labour's Alternative Vote
system, which is likely to be more unfair than the current system.


The trouble is that none of the current political parties can be
trusted to come up with a fair system. Their grip on power is only
possible because of unfairness.


Although most of the time the public seem happy that way. And not just
in the UK - voters in British Columbia have recently rejected a
proposed move from First Past The Post to mult-member STV, despite it
being chosen by a "citizen's jury" and some recent election results
that would be a godsend for British PR advocates.

Didn't Tony Blair commission a report on electoral reform from Lord
(Roy) Jenkins, then bin it because he didn't like the
recommendations?


Yes but it would be wrong to blame just Blair for this. Enthusiasm for
PR in the Labour Party dried up a lot after the 1997 election (much as
it did in the Conservatives after 1979) and the Jenkins Commission +
referendum was rapidly regarded as an unfortunate inclusion in the
manifesto to throw a bone to Liberal Democrat voters.

Furthermore the system that the Commission proposed was "Alternative
Vote Plus", a ghastly hybrid Additional Member System that would
involve:

* Most MPs elected in constituencies but on the Alternative Vote

* Lots of small regions with a handful of MPs elected on a top-up.

It tried to meet all the requirements but calculations suggests it
doesn't really:

* You can still get governments elected on a minority of the votes
cast if their support is sufficiently concentrated to sweep up the
seats

* The small number of top-up seats mean they would largely serve to
help the second and third parties (and fourth in Wales and Scotland)
make up a seat deficit rather than providing representation for other
parties (this effect can be seen in the Welsh Assembly).

* There would be two kinds of MP - constituency and list - in a single
chamber which is frequently a recipe for rivalry and chaos. (A big
complaint in the Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly is about list
MSPs/AMs presenting themselves as the "local" representative,
especially if they go on to contest that constituency at the next
election. A law was passed to stop candidates standing in both
constituencies and lists in Wales but it still happens in Scotland
and London.)


A bit of personal P Hain spitefulness.

* All Additional Member Systems with multiple ballot papers can give
some voters more voting power than others (vote for one successful
party for the constituency and another for the list) and the
likeliehood of overhangs (a party gets more constituency seats than
its list vote entitles it to) magnifies this.

* Parties can also game the system by running separately on the
constituencies and lists (an Italian tactic called "decoy lists").

* "Safe seats" would still exist in constituencies and those
politicians at the head of their local list would be guaranteed
election.

* A big name could lose their constituency but still be in the
parliament - this happen in Germany with Helmut Kohl in 1998.

As you can guess this system doesn't fill PR campaigners with a great
deal of enthusiasm and there are splits over any prospective
referendum between those who think any "PR" is better than the present
system and those who think adopting this particular system will not
solve the cited problems and make a preferred system *less* likely.


The trouble is we in Britain always have to invent something of our
own. What we should be doing is looking at the most successful
comparable democracies (for some values of comparable and democracy)
and selecting which successful system would be most approproate for
the UK.

A Royal Commission would be needed to do this. Unfortunately,
Jenkins and his committee were appointed by the New Labour government.
His commission therefore lacked the necessary independence, and his
chairmanship brought with it Jenkins' legebdary lack of clarity of
thought. Never use ten words where a hundred will do, and never
overlook the opaque and complex "solutions" for something that is
clear, simple and works!


A little over 30 years ago there was no debate on PR systems in this
country. STV was the only "British" system which worked in accordance with
the purely informal status of political parties in British political
traditions. Things have changed a lot since 1976. Lord Blake has a lot to
answer for.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

Tim Roll-Pickering August 3rd 09 09:20 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
wrote:

* There would be two kinds of MP - constituency and list - in a single
chamber which is frequently a recipe for rivalry and chaos. (A big
complaint in the Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly is about list
MSPs/AMs presenting themselves as the "local" representative,
especially if they go on to contest that constituency at the next
election. A law was passed to stop candidates standing in both
constituencies and lists in Wales but it still happens in Scotland
and London.)


A bit of personal P Hain spitefulness.


I seem to remember Labour trying to introduce it for Scotland as well but
failing, possibly because they were directly and openly targetting Alex
Salmond. They still haven't explained why various Labour candidates for the
London Assembly stood for both constituency and list (e.g. Nicky Gavron).

A little over 30 years ago there was no debate on PR systems in this
country. STV was the only "British" system which worked in accordance with
the purely informal status of political parties in British political
traditions. Things have changed a lot since 1976. Lord Blake has a lot to
answer for.


Was that when the Hansard Society did a report and recommended AMS?



Tim Roll-Pickering August 3rd 09 09:21 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
Bruce wrote:

The trouble is we in Britain always have to invent something of our
own. What we should be doing is looking at the most successful
comparable democracies (for some values of comparable and democracy)
and selecting which successful system would be most approproate for
the UK.


I believe the Jenkins Commission did look at other systems but the problem
is that their remit contained a number of criteria for any system
recommended. Fundamentally the debate on voting systems boils down to which
factors people prioritise over one another - strong stable government,
government that can be thrown out if the electorate desire it, numeric
proportionality and so forth - and it's difficult to find a system that
meets all the major ones. The British political culture is such that there
are sizeable third parties who are expected to drift from side to side or
maintain an independent position, whereas in, say, Germany the main third
parties are allied to one or other of the big parties (although recently the
emergence of The Left as an independent force is putting a spanner in the
works) whilst in Malta third parties just don't appear.

A Royal Commission would be needed to do this. Unfortunately,
Jenkins and his committee were appointed by the New Labour government.


Whether the Commission is government, Speaker's or Royal, it's likely to
come to go through much the same process - hearings that just allow the
voting system anoraks and ideologically committed to spout off whilst the
public show no interest, analysis of various other systems in use and a set
of criteria that rules out most of the alternatives before it's started.
Until you can get agreement on the basic principles of what takes priority,
it will just go round and round in circles.



Bruce[_2_] August 3rd 09 09:42 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
On Mon, 3 Aug 2009 22:21:08 +0100, "Tim Roll-Pickering"
wrote:
Whether the Commission is government, Speaker's or Royal, it's likely to
come to go through much the same process - hearings that just allow the
voting system anoraks and ideologically committed to spout off whilst the
public show no interest, analysis of various other systems in use and a set
of criteria that rules out most of the alternatives before it's started.
Until you can get agreement on the basic principles of what takes priority,
it will just go round and round in circles.



That was certainly true of the Jenkins Commission. But the mistake
was surely for the (New Labour) government to be allowed to commission
it then handicap it with over-specific terms of reference. Jenkins
had no option but to please Blair, whereas a Royal Commission would
have been independent and would have set its own agenda.

Also, the fact that Blair had commissioned Jenkins meant that he could
safely ignore the Commission's conclusions and recommendations. Blair
would have found it much more difficult to ignore the recommendations
of a Royal Commission.

The Jenkins Commission was a sop to the LibDems whom Blair had courted
with the promise of electoral reform if they supported a Labour
government after the 1997 election - Labour might not have secured a
large majority and the LibDems would have been crucial to getting
legislation through Parliament.

In the event, Blair got his majority and discarded the LibDems like a
used tissue. He still set up the Jenkins Commission as promised, but
there was never any chance of electoral reform coming out of it
because Blair no longer needed the support of any other party.

Anyone who believes that New Labour's current musing about electoral
reform is in any way genuine should consider what happened to the
conclusions and recommendations of the Jenkins Commission.


[email protected] August 3rd 09 10:35 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
In article ,
(Tim Roll-Pickering) wrote:

wrote:

* There would be two kinds of MP - constituency and list - in a
single chamber which is frequently a recipe for rivalry and
chaos. (A big complaint in the Scottish Parliament and Welsh
Assembly is about list MSPs/AMs presenting themselves as the
"local" representative, especially if they go on to contest that
constituency at the next election. A law was passed to stop
candidates standing in both constituencies and lists in Wales but
it still happens in Scotland and London.)


A bit of personal P Hain spitefulness.


I seem to remember Labour trying to introduce it for Scotland as
well but failing, possibly because they were directly and openly
targetting Alex Salmond. They still haven't explained why various
Labour candidates for the London Assembly stood for both
constituency and list (e.g. Nicky Gavron).


I have to say I don;t remember it in Scotland, maybe because the Welsh
legislation was put through Westminster rather than Cardiff.

A little over 30 years ago there was no debate on PR systems in this
country. STV was the only "British" system which worked in accordance
with the purely informal status of political parties in British
political traditions. Things have changed a lot since 1976. Lord
Blake has a lot to answer for.


Was that when the Hansard Society did a report and recommended AMS?


Thassaone.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

[email protected] August 3rd 09 10:35 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
In article ,
(Tim Roll-Pickering) wrote:

Bruce wrote:

The trouble is we in Britain always have to invent something of our
own. What we should be doing is looking at the most successful
comparable democracies (for some values of comparable and democracy)
and selecting which successful system would be most approproate for
the UK.


I believe the Jenkins Commission did look at other systems but the
problem is that their remit contained a number of criteria for any
system recommended. Fundamentally the debate on voting systems
boils down to which factors people prioritise over one another -
strong stable government, government that can be thrown out if the
electorate desire it, numeric proportionality and so forth - and
it's difficult to find a system that meets all the major ones. The
British political culture is such that there are sizeable third
parties who are expected to drift from side to side or maintain an
independent position, whereas in, say, Germany the main third
parties are allied to one or other of the big parties (although
recently the emergence of The Left as an independent force is
putting a spanner in the works) whilst in Malta third parties just
don't appear.

A Royal Commission would be needed to do this. Unfortunately,
Jenkins and his committee were appointed by the New Labour
government.


Whether the Commission is government, Speaker's or Royal, it's
likely to come to go through much the same process - hearings that
just allow the voting system anoraks and ideologically committed to
spout off whilst the public show no interest, analysis of various
other systems in use and a set of criteria that rules out most of
the alternatives before it's started. Until you can get agreement
on the basic principles of what takes priority, it will just go
round and round in circles.


The Jenkins report was pure politics.It was an attempt, which succeeded to
some extent, to co-opt Labour AV supporters to the PR cause. It worked on
my MP at the time, Anne Campbell, and maybe on some others but most
notably not on Peter Hain, an AV man since his Liberal days.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

Tim Roll-Pickering August 3rd 09 11:12 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
wrote:

A bit of personal P Hain spitefulness.


I seem to remember Labour trying to introduce it for Scotland as
well but failing, possibly because they were directly and openly
targetting Alex Salmond. They still haven't explained why various
Labour candidates for the London Assembly stood for both
constituency and list (e.g. Nicky Gavron).


I have to say I don;t remember it in Scotland, maybe because the Welsh
legislation was put through Westminster rather than Cardiff.


Wasn't the Scottish election also covered by Westminster legislation?
Certainly the issue came up a bit at PMQs with Scottish Labour MPs
expressing fake moral outrage that it was possible for this to happen. I
suspect the difference may have been the ability of other parties to make an
issue of this in Scotland compared to Wales.



[email protected] August 3rd 09 11:32 PM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round
 
In article ,
(Tim Roll-Pickering) wrote:

wrote:

A bit of personal P Hain spitefulness.


I seem to remember Labour trying to introduce it for Scotland as
well but failing, possibly because they were directly and openly
targetting Alex Salmond. They still haven't explained why various
Labour candidates for the London Assembly stood for both
constituency and list (e.g. Nicky Gavron).


I have to say I don;t remember it in Scotland, maybe because the
Welsh legislation was put through Westminster rather than Cardiff.


Wasn't the Scottish election also covered by Westminster
legislation? Certainly the issue came up a bit at PMQs with
Scottish Labour MPs expressing fake moral outrage that it was
possible for this to happen. I suspect the difference may have been
the ability of other parties to make an issue of this in Scotland
compared to Wales.


ISTR that happening too, I have to say. Perhaps it was just ministerial
support that was lacking.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

James Farrar August 4th 09 07:53 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
"Tim Roll-Pickering" wrote in
:

Just zis Guy, you know? wrote:

Not the first time. I believe the last Tory government polled fewer
votes than Labour.


No, the Conservatives in 1992 polled 14,093,007 votes (the largest
number ever cast for a single party) and Labour polled 11,560,484.


Though Blair/Brown polled less in 2005 (9,562,122) than Major did in 1997
(9,600,943) - this could be the statistic that Guy misremembered?

James Farrar August 4th 09 07:54 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
John B wrote in
:

On Aug 1, 4:39*pm, nospam_lonelytraveller_nospam
wrote:
OTOH carrying on with a policy regardless of all the evidence for
it be

ing a
bad idea and with cost cutting going on already in public transport
whi

ch
really didn't need the cost of a new fleet of buses imposed on top
smac

ks
of bloody mindedness at best. It seems Boris isn't a big enough man
to

admit
when he's wrong, so I suppose in that sense he's not at all rare in
pol

itical
circles.


It seems Boris is a big enough man to carry out one of the major
headline grabbing manifesto commitments that got him elected by the
majority of the voting electorate. If you don't like that, remember
you're in the minority.


Presumably you were also well in favour of the[*] US state
legislature that passed a law deeming the value of pi to be 4?


Was that a manifesto pledge?


Basil Jet August 11th 09 03:04 AM

These writhing whales of the road have swung their hefty rear ends round our corners for the final time.
 
Lucas wrote:

The 29 is awfully busy along the whole route I feel, even after Manor
House it stays incredibly busy; and gets busier even because of the
big gap between Manor House and Turnpike Lane tube stations that is
Harringay.
The problem is simply Green Lanes itself which is ridiculously
congested and always the slowest part of the route, but I can't think
of much of an alternative, given that the only parallel road is also
quite busy (Wightman Rd)


Introduce a new bus from Piccadilly Circus via Portland Place, Hampstead
Road, Junction Road and Tottenham Lane to Wood Green, extended at night to
Enfield. It should be quicker than the 29 day and night, so it will get most
of the long distance traffic. Cut the frequency of the 29, and terminate it
at Wood Green day and night. No-one going from Wood Green to Camden will
ever have to suffer Green Lanes again.




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